Result
1:4
25/04/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 4
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
- 32', Betao ↓, Gustavo Fagundes ↑,
- 40', Everton Kanela 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Italo Carvalho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Bruno Bispo ↓, Quintana Y. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Isaque ⚽,
- 61', Italo Carvalho ↓, Lucas Cardoso ↑,
- 61', Bonifazi F. ↓, Luciano Taboca ↑,
- 65', Isaque ↓, Elimar ↑,
- 65', Karl ↓, Dione ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Caio Mello ⚽,
- 73', 1 - 3, Kleiton Pego ⚽,
- 75', 🟨,
- 77', Kleiton Pego ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 78', Tito 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 4, Juninho ⚽,
- 83', Caio Mello ↓, Henrico ↑,
Chances of winning
Itabaiana
37% | Draw
31.4% | Paysandu
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Itabaiana - Paysandu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.79) |
2.88 ↑
(2.79) |
2.86 ↑
(2.59) |
10.7%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
- Itabaiana is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Paysandu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Itabaiana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Paysandu has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against Paysandu?
Itabaiana has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Itabaiana?
Paysandu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Itabaiana - Paysandu were as follows:
Latest results of Itabaiana
Latest results of Paysandu
Brazilian Serie C Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amazonas | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Brusque | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Paysandu PA | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Floresta EC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Ypiranga FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Ituano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Botafogo PB | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | SER Caxias | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Maringa FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Guarani | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Barra FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Inter de Limeira | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Santa Cruz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Figueirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Maranhao | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Confianca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 19 | Ferroviaria | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Itabaiana | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
