Result
2:3
02/05/2026 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NPL South Australia - Round 8
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 9', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 14', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 76', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sturt Lions
23.3% | Draw
22.8% | Adelaide United U23
53.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturt Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturt Lions's form might have worsened.Adelaide United U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide United U23's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (+15%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturt Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United U23 than the current prediction. (-16.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide United U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sturt Lions - Adelaide United U23 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.12 ↑
(2.35) |
4.2 ↑
(3.8) |
1.78 ↓
(2.43) |
4.4%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).
- In recent matches, Sturt Lions has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Adelaide United U23 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturt Lions won against Adelaide United U23?
Sturt Lions has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United U23 won against Sturt Lions?
Adelaide United U23 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturt Lions - Adelaide United U23 were as follows:
Latest results of Sturt Lions
Latest results of Adelaide United U23
Australian NPL South Australian Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Playford Patriots | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 19 |
| 2 | West Torrens | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | NE Metrostars | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 15 |
| 4 | Adelaide City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Sturt Lions | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Adelaide United U23 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Campbelltown City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | FK Beograd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Croydon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16:18 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:19 | -14 | 1 |
| 12 | Para | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6:38 | -32 | 1 |
Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ SA State League
