Result
2:1
01/05/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 61% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 69% (48/70) | 69% (47/68) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 48% (21/44) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 6/9 | 6/10 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 31% (21/68) | 31% (22/70) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 54% (26/48) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/10 | 3/9 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 29 | 33 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 54 | 50 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 72% (13/18) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (70/118) | 61% (68/112) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (44/112) | 41% (48/118) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (114/230) | 50% (116/230) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 75% (12/16) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 18% (3/17) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 45% (15/33) |
Chances of winning
Matteo Arnaldi
50.7% | Nuno Borges
49.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Arnaldi's performance.Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuno Borges might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Matteo Arnaldi - Nuno Borges Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(2.11) |
|
1.9 ↑
(1.65) |
7.2%
(8%) | |
What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Nuno Borges?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Borges will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 103. Borges is ranked ATP: 49.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Arnaldi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arnaldi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Nuno Borges?
Matteo Arnaldi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nuno Borges won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Nuno Borges has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Nuno Borges were as follows:
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Latest results of Nuno Borges
