Result
2:1
02/05/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari, clay - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 53% | 71% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 55% (23/42) | 51% (20/39) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 54% (20/37) | 13% (2/16) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 11/15 | 5/12 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 49% (19/39) | 45% (19/42) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 46% (17/37) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 7/12 | 4/15 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 54% (7/13) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (42/78) | 41% (22/54) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (32/54) | 46% (36/78) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (74/132) | 44% (58/132) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 30% (3/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 40% (4/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 35% (7/20) |
Chances of winning
Matteo Arnaldi
60.3% | Gianluca Cadenasso
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Matteo Arnaldi - Gianluca Cadenasso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.43) |
|
2.36 ↓
(2.64) |
6.6%
(7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Gianluca Cadenasso?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Cadenasso will win (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 103. Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 232.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Cadenasso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Arnaldi might have a minor edge in this game.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Gianluca Cadenasso?
Matteo Arnaldi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gianluca Cadenasso won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Gianluca Cadenasso has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Gianluca Cadenasso were as follows:
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Latest results of Gianluca Cadenasso
