Result
2:1
05/05/2026 at 04:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 70% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 68% (42/62) | 67% (45/67) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 58% (19/33) | 48% (14/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 5/8 | 2/5 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 33% (22/67) | 32% (20/62) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 52% (15/29) | 42% (14/33) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 3/5 | 3/8 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 33 | 24 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 43 | 34 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 65% (11/17) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (61/95) | 61% (59/96) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (37/96) | 36% (34/95) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (98/191) | 49% (93/191) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 80% (12/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 20% (3/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 50% (15/30) | 50% (15/30) |
Chances of winning
Daniel Merida Aguilar
68.1% | Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Merida Aguilar's performance.Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-13.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Merida Aguilar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.58) |
|
2.96 ↑
(2.29) |
6.2%
(7%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera?
Users Predictions:
Daniel Merida Aguilar will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 86. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 134.
- Merida Aguilar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Barrios Vera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Barrios Vera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Merida Aguilar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Merida Aguilar won against Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera?
Daniel Merida Aguilar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera won against Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera were as follows:
Latest results of Daniel Merida Aguilar
Latest results of Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
Draw
Singles - QualificationSemi-finals| 1 | Garin C. (1) | Echargui M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Lajovic D. | Choinski J. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Prizmic D. (2) | Rodesch C. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bondioli F. (WC) | Nava E. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Kypson P. (3) | Pinnington Jones J. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Martin Manzano J. C. (WC) | Droguet T. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Carreno-Busta P. (4) | Damm M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Travaglia S. | Wawrinka S. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Vallejo D. (5) | Faria J. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Llamas Ruiz P. (Alt) | Rocha H. (19) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Kovacevic A. (6) | Carboni L. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Mochizuki S. | Fearnley J. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | van Assche L. (7) | Dellien H. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Martinez P. | De Jong J. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Landaluce M. (8) | O'Connell C. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Pellegrino A. | Gaston H. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 17 | Hijikata R. (9) | Basile P. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Moller E. | Basilashvili N. (21) | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Merida Aguilar D. (10) | McDonald M. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Vasami J. (WC) | Barrios Vera T. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Bonzi B. (11) | Svrcina D. | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Budkov Kjaer N. | Virtanen O. (22) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Comesana F. (12) | Harris B. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Riedi L. (PR) | Gaubas V. (24) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Garin C. (1) | Choinski J. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Prizmic D. (2) | Bondioli F. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Kypson P. (3) | Droguet T. (16) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Carreno-Busta P. (WO.) (4) | Wawrinka S. (13) | |
| 5 | Faria J. | Llamas Ruiz P. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Kovacevic A. (6) | Fearnley J. (15) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Dellien H. | De Jong J. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Landaluce M. (8) | Pellegrino A. | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Hijikata R. (9) | Basilashvili N. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Merida Aguilar D. (10) | Barrios Vera T. (23) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Svrcina D. | Budkov Kjaer N. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Comesana F. (12) | Riedi L. | 2 : 1 |
