Result
2:1
27/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 5
- Referee: Mattsson E. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | VG+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (373/451) | 83% (427/516) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (373/451) | 83% (427/516) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/51) | 42% (27/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (75/102) | 68% (94/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 8% (2/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Ihler F. ⚽, Silverholt T. (A),
- 13', 1 - 1, Rosenqvist C. ⚽, Sagoe Jr C. (A),
- 27', Chourak N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', R. Gojani 🟨,
- 48', Hellemaa A. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 1, Olusanya A. ⚽, Sagoe Jr C. (A),
- 58', Hellemaa A. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
- 58', Ihler F. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
- 71', Kamara M. 🟨,
- 72', Holmen S. ↓, Mohammed R. ↑,
- 73', Hallberg M. ↓, Soderback M. ↑,
- 79', Sagoe Jr C. ↓, Tyren V. ↑,
- 79', Larsson V. ↓, Overby S. ↑,
- 82', Isherwood T. ↓, Krasniqi D. ↑,
- 82', Hedlund S. ↓, Ostman L. ↑,
- 89', Rosenqvist C. 🟨,
- 90', Hult N. 🟨,
- 90+1', Olusanya A. ↓, Magashy A. ↑,
- 90+1', Rosenqvist C. ↓, Ravik Z. ↑,
- 90+6', Ostman L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kalmar
38% | Draw
29.6% | Elfsborg
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elfsborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elfsborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kalmar - Elfsborg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↓
(2.73) |
3.14 ↓
(3.36) |
2.92 ↑
(2.42) |
6.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kalmar - Elfsborg?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Kalmar will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Elfsborg will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 41.6% – 98.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 3.
- Recent form of Kalmar has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Elfsborg is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Kalmar: Keita A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lawal S.
(Inactive)
Stolt M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Elfsborg: Beck J.
(Inactive)
Frick P.
(Inactive)
Zeneli A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kalmar: Gustafsson C.
(Inactive)
Sabriye A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:36. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kalmar won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1.2:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kalmar won against Elfsborg?
Kalmar has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elfsborg won against Kalmar?
Elfsborg has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kalmar - Elfsborg were as follows:
29.09.2024
Kalmar
-
Elfsborg
1:3
22.04.2024
Elfsborg
-
Kalmar
1:2
17.09.2023
Elfsborg
-
Kalmar
0:3
09.07.2023
Kalmar
-
Elfsborg
0:4
09.10.2022
Elfsborg
-
Kalmar
0:2
Latest results of Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sirius | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:7 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 11 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Djurgarden | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Hacken | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:9 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Mjallby | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Degerfors | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | AIK | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Vasteras SK | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | GAIS | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Orgryte | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:16 | -10 | 5 |
| 14 | Kalmar | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Goteborg | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
