Result
26:15
28/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | Canal+ Live 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 10)
- 13', Tatafu T. 🟨,
- 15', Germain B. (Penalty Goal),
- 20', Leyds D. (Try),
- 20', Hastoy A. (Conversion Goal),
- 35', Tiberghien C. 🟨,
- 36', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 39', Bruni R. 🟥,
- 40+3', Sutidze N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (23 - 5)
- 45', Spring T. (Penalty Goal),
- 56', Latu S. 🟨,
- 57', Martin L. (Try),
- 57', Germain B. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Cancoriet J. (Try),
- 62', Lagivala S. 🟨,
- 64', Tiberghien C. (Try),
- 67', Tiberghien C. (Try),
- 74', Germain B. (Penalty Goal),
Chances of winning
Aviron Bayonnais
57.2% | Draw
4.2% | La Rochelle
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aviron Bayonnais's form might have worsened.La Rochelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Rochelle's recent form is better than expected.
Aviron Bayonnais - La Rochelle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.39) |
22.54 ↑
(17.67) |
2.4 ↓
(3.22) |
7.9%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
What is the prediction for Aviron Bayonnais - La Rochelle?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Bayonne will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). La Rochelle will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayonne: 68.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -3.5 - Bayonne (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aviron Bayonnais will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayonne (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:23.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayonne won 2.
- Bayonne is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bayonne won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 353:459. (average 19.6:25.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bayonne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 211:168. (average 23.4:18.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Aviron Bayonnais won against La Rochelle?
Aviron Bayonnais has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has La Rochelle won against Aviron Bayonnais?
La Rochelle has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aviron Bayonnais - La Rochelle were as follows:
20.12.2025
La Rochelle
-
Aviron Bayonnais
49:17
19.04.2025
La Rochelle
-
Aviron Bayonnais
29:28
12.10.2024
Aviron Bayonnais
-
La Rochelle
37:7
23.03.2024
Aviron Bayonnais
-
La Rochelle
13:12
11.11.2023
La Rochelle
-
Aviron Bayonnais
18:15
Latest results of Aviron Bayonnais
Latest results of La Rochelle
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 20 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 795:438 | 71 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 591:514 | 59 |
| 3 | Stade Francais Paris | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 623:495 | 59 |
| 4 | Bordeaux Begles | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 656:520 | 59 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 610:452 | 57 |
| 6 | Clermont | 20 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 633:551 | 52 |
| 7 | Racing 92 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 583:606 | 50 |
| 8 | Castres Olympique | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 501:570 | 47 |
| 9 | Stade Rochelais | 20 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 586:519 | 45 |
| 10 | Aviron Bayonnais | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 553:636 | 45 |
| 11 | RC Toulonnais | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 512:618 | 45 |
| 12 | Lyon | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 570:551 | 44 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 20 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 408:563 | 23 |
| 14 | Montauban | 20 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 381:969 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
