Guarnizo vs Cayón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
02/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 29

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 48', Fernandez Gomez G. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Guarnizo
36.7%
Draw
31.9%
Cayón
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 31.6% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 30.9% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Cayón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Guarnizo - Cayón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.76)
    2.85
    (2.87)
    2.89
    (2.54)
    9.9%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarnizo won 1.
    • Guarnizo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cayón has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guarnizo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guarnizo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guarnizo - Cayón were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Cayón - Guarnizo 1:1
    09.03.2025 Cayón - Guarnizo 1:3
    19.08.2023 Guarnizo - Cayón 0:0
    11.02.2023 Guarnizo - Cayón 0:1
    08.10.2022 Cayón - Guarnizo 4:2
    Latest results of Guarnizo
    22.03.2026 Guarnizo - Escobedo 1:0
    15.03.2026 Vimenor - Guarnizo 1:1
    07.03.2026 Guarnizo - Tropezón 1:0
    28.02.2026 Cartes - Guarnizo 0:0
    Latest results of Cayón
    29.03.2026 Cayón - Colindres 1:2
    22.03.2026 Selaya - Cayón 0:2
    15.03.2026 Cayón - Laredo 0:2
    07.03.2026 Bezana - Cayón 0:1
    08.02.2026 Castro - Cayón 2:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Torrelavega33255381:146780
    2Laredo32207560:263467
    3Guarnizo33198646:252165
    4Tropezon33204948:272164
    5Escobedo332021158:401862
    6Vimenor33178846:331359
    7Atletico Albericia331751159:411856
    8Cayon331651247:40753
    9Torina331481137:40-350
    10Bezana331371342:37546
    11Castro331081544:45-138
    12Revilla32861834:60-2630
    13CD Barquereno32851935:58-2329
    14Selaya32771827:41-1428
    15CD Colindres336101726:45-1928
    16UC Cartes33691826:50-2427
    17Montanas33681932:80-4826
    18Noja33462320:66-4618

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation