Result
2:0
08/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 69', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 82', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castro
28.5% | Draw
29.5% | Cayón
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Cayón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (-1%)
Castro - Cayón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↑
(2.84) |
3.1 ↓
(3.25) |
2.18 ↓
(2.28) |
9.3%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).
- Castro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cayón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Cayón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Castro has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castro won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Cayón?
Castro has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cayón won against Castro?
Cayón has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castro - Cayón were as follows:
27.09.2025
Cayón
-
Castro
1:1
30.03.2025
Castro
-
Cayón
0:0
26.03.2023
Cayón
-
Castro
2:0
26.11.2022
Castro
-
Cayón
2:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 33 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 81:14 | 67 | 80 |
| 2 | Laredo | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 60:26 | 34 | 67 |
| 3 | Guarnizo | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 46:25 | 21 | 65 |
| 4 | Tropezon | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 48:27 | 21 | 64 |
| 5 | Escobedo | 33 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 58:40 | 18 | 62 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 59 |
| 7 | Atletico Albericia | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 59:41 | 18 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayon | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 53 |
| 9 | Torina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 37:40 | -3 | 50 |
| 10 | Bezana | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 42:37 | 5 | 46 |
| 11 | Castro | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 44:45 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Revilla | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 34:60 | -26 | 30 |
| 13 | CD Barquereno | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
| 14 | Selaya | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 27:41 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | CD Colindres | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 28 |
| 16 | UC Cartes | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 26:50 | -24 | 27 |
| 17 | Montanas | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 32:80 | -48 | 26 |
| 18 | Noja | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 20:66 | -46 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
