Result
1:1
03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Popoola A. ⚽,
- 10', 1 - 1, Brogan M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Chorley
68.3% | Draw
19.2% | Leamington
12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chorley's performance.Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leamington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chorley that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leamington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chorley - Leamington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.62) |
4.85 ↑
(3.93) |
7.43 ↑
(4.88) |
7.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Chorley - Leamington?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Chorley will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Leamington will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chorley: 46.4% – 99%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Chorley (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chorley will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Chorley (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 3.
- Recent performances by Chorley have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Leamington has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Chorley is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chorley won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Chorley won against Leamington?
Chorley has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leamington won against Chorley?
Leamington has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chorley - Leamington were as follows:
30.08.2025
Leamington
-
Chorley
1:0
01.03.2025
Leamington
-
Chorley
3:2
09.11.2024
Chorley
-
Leamington
2:1
15.04.2023
Leamington
-
Chorley
1:2
15.10.2022
Chorley
-
Leamington
1:0
Latest results of Chorley
Latest results of Leamington
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 104:49 | 55 | 94 |
| 2 | South Shields | 43 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 94:40 | 54 | 91 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 43 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 67:48 | 19 | 78 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 42 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 78:60 | 18 | 76 |
| 5 | Scarborough | 44 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 58:50 | 8 | 69 |
| 6 | Chester | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 64:63 | 1 | 69 |
| 7 | Darlington | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 76:64 | 12 | 68 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 43 | 21 | 4 | 18 | 89:79 | 10 | 67 |
| 9 | Buxton | 43 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 73:58 | 15 | 66 |
| 10 | AFC Telford | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 84:62 | 22 | 64 |
| 11 | Spennymoor | 44 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 59:68 | -9 | 64 |
| 12 | Marine | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 57:63 | -6 | 61 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 43 | 17 | 6 | 20 | 73:77 | -4 | 57 |
| 14 | Southport | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 61:65 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Worksop | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57:72 | -15 | 54 |
| 16 | Chorley | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 63:63 | 0 | 53 |
| 17 | Bedford | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 64:75 | -11 | 51 |
| 18 | Curzon Ashton | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 64:81 | -17 | 51 |
| 19 | Oxford City | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 56:63 | -7 | 50 |
| 20 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 55:63 | -8 | 50 |
| 21 | Hereford | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 56:73 | -17 | 45 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 43 | 11 | 12 | 20 | 41:75 | -34 | 45 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports ✔ | 44 | 10 | 8 | 26 | 49:86 | -37 | 38 |
| 24 | Leamington ✔ | 44 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 38:83 | -45 | 29 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Peterborough Sports is Relegated to
Leamington is Relegated to
