Lommel vs Brugge U23 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
11/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 33
  • Referee: de Beuckelaer A. (Bel)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.880.95
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
2213
Shots on target
67
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
57
Passes
87% (444/513)86% (426/494)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.880.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.250.65
Total shots
2213
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
83
Shots inside the box
147
Shots outside the box
86
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
3619
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
715
Passes
87% (444/513)86% (426/494)
Long passes
61% (23/38)58% (26/45)
Passes in final third
81% (128/158)72% (73/101)
Crosses
42% (11/26)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
2.340.41
Throw ins
148
Fouls
157
Tackles
54% (7/13)60% (6/10)
Duels won
3437
Clearances
1022
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
65
xGOT faced
0.650.25
Goals prevented
-0.350.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Banguera Riascos J. A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Da Silva J. , Amengai N. ,
  • 62', Vancsa Z. , Rommens N. ,
  • 62', Eyoma T. , Tolinsson J. ,
  • 67', Seuntjens R. , van Duiven R. ,
  • 67', Wouters D. , Oware H. ,
  • 79', Lund-Jensen T. , Bisiwu J. ,
  • 79', Garcia A. , Van Britsom J. ,
  • 79', Wins A. , Audoor S. ,
  • 86', Elbay M. , Wylin S. ,
  • 87', Salah M. , Reumers A. ,
  • 90+2', 0 - 1, Musuayi Y. ,
  • 90+4', Okon G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lommel
70.8%
Draw
18.2%
Brugge U23
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.5% 20.4% 15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7% 19.4% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lommel's performance.
  • Brugge U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brugge U23 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Lommel - Brugge U23 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.42)
    5.16
    (4.48)
    8.5
    (6.09)
    7.2%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Lommel - Brugge U23?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Lommel will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Lommel is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Promotion )
    • Brugge U23 is Relegated to
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 4.
    • Recent performances by Lommel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Brugge U23's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Lommel has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Lommel is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lommel won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lommel - Brugge U23 were as follows:
    24.09.2025 Brugge U23 - Lommel 0:2
    07.02.2025 Lommel - Brugge U23 0:2
    01.11.2024 Brugge U23 - Lommel 1:3
    13.01.2024 Brugge U23 - Lommel 0:2
    18.08.2023 Lommel - Brugge U23 1:0
    Latest results of Lommel
    04.04.2026 Lommel - RWDM Brussels 3:2
    15.03.2026 Lommel - Francs Borains 3:1
    11.03.2026 Gent U23 - Lommel 2:2
    07.03.2026 Lommel - Kortrijk 1:1
    01.03.2026 Lommel - Seraing 0:1
    Latest results of Brugge U23
    04.04.2026 Brugge U23 - Eupen 0:1
    21.03.2026 Gent U23 - Brugge U23 3:2
    14.03.2026 Brugge U23 - Beveren 2:2
    10.03.2026 Genk U23 - Brugge U23 0:0
    07.03.2026 Lierse - Brugge U23 2:1