Result
1:2 OT
21/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | HBO Max, TNT, truTV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 31 | 41 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 3.23% (1/31) | 4.88% (2/41) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 39 | 30 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95.12% (39/41) | 96.77% (30/31) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 33 | 32 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50.77 | 49.23 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 04:46, 1 - 0, Laughton S. (G), Jarnkrok C. (A), Lorentz S. (A2)
- 05:37, Cowan E. (2 min),
- 19:42, 1 - 1, Edvinsson S. (G), Raymond L. (A), Larkin D. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 04:28, Bernard-Docker J. (2 min),
- 09:31, Van Riemsdyk J. (2 min),
- 14:49, Jarnkrok C. (2 min),
- 16:41, Laughton S. (Penalty Shot),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 03:08, 1 - 2, Larkin D. (G), Seider M. (A),
Chances of winning
Toronto Maple Leafs
42.3% | Draw
22.5% | Detroit Red Wings
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Detroit Red Wings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)The ML Model estimate for Toronto Maple Leafs aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.39) |
4.22 ↑
(4.04) |
2.68 ↑
(2.54) |
5.3%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Detroit will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit: 11.9% – 76.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Detroit Red Wings will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
- In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Detroit is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Nylander W.
(Groin Injury)
Tanev C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 59:63. (average 3:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 2.9:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Detroit Red Wings?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 10 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Detroit Red Wings won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Detroit Red Wings has won 12 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings were as follows:
28.12.2025
Detroit Red Wings
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:2
13.10.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Detroit Red Wings
2:3
11.10.2025
Detroit Red Wings
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
6:3
04.10.2025
Detroit Red Wings
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
6:5
02.10.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Detroit Red Wings
1:3
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest results of Detroit Red Wings
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Los Angeles Kings (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (2) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 4 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Utah Mammoth (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (5) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 2 : 4 |
| 5 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins (7) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 4 |
| 7 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Boston Bruins (5) | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 3 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
