Result
1:1
15/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Ubis E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', 🟥,
- 84', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Varea
67.4% | Draw
19.4% | Yagüe
13.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Yagüe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varea than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Varea - Yagüe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.43) |
4.72 ↑
(4.37) |
6.95 ↑
(5.98) |
9.3%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varea won 4.
- Varea is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Yagüe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Varea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Varea is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Varea will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Varea won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 27:11. (average 2.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varea won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 3.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Varea won against Yagüe?
Varea has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yagüe won against Varea?
Yagüe has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varea - Yagüe were as follows:
05.10.2025
Yagüe
-
Varea
1:3
25.01.2025
Yagüe
-
Varea
0:1
11.02.2023
Yagüe
-
Varea
2:3
09.10.2022
Varea
-
Yagüe
3:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 33 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 94:22 | 72 | 83 |
| 2 | Varea | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 73 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 71:26 | 45 | 69 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 82:22 | 60 | 62 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53:41 | 12 | 58 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 47:36 | 11 | 57 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 54:45 | 9 | 51 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 58:47 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Vianes | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:50 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | San Marcial | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 39:57 | -18 | 39 |
| 11 | Berceo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Yague | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 44:48 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | CDFC Calzada | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 37:54 | -17 | 35 |
| 14 | Pradejon | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 29:46 | -17 | 35 |
| 15 | Comillas | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 31:58 | -27 | 35 |
| 16 | Villegas | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 36:65 | -29 | 28 |
| 17 | Autol | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18:79 | -61 | 15 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 33 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 27:81 | -54 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
