Result
1:0
22/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
- Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Huseynli R. 🟨,
- 60', Ba M. ↓, Nabiyev F. ↑,
- 60', Shahverdiyev E. ↓, Samadov U. ↑,
- 74', Aliyev K. ↓, Mickels J. ↑,
- 74', Sekidika J. ↓, Parris K. ↑,
- 82', Pachu ↓, Atakishiyev A. ↑,
- 83', Isayev A. ↓, Rakhmonaliyev U. ↑,
- 87', Ohori R. ↓, Samadov A. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 0, Parris K. ⚽,
- 90+4', Malouda A. ↓, Ende S. ↑,
- 90+4', Zedadka A. ↓, Seydiyev A. ↑,
- 90+8', 🟨,
- 90+9', Seyidov S. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Sabah
74.7% | Draw
17.2% | Kapaz
8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sabah's performance.Kapaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Sabah - Kapaz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.22 ↓
(1.32) |
5.27 ↑
(4.68) |
11.31 ↑
(7.65) |
10.1%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sabah - Kapaz?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sabah will win (votes: 5 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabah (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Sabah (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabah (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 2.
- Sabah has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kapaz has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Sabah is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:21. (average 2.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sabah won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 2.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sabah won against Kapaz?
Sabah has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kapaz won against Sabah?
Kapaz has won 2 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sabah - Kapaz were as follows:
09.11.2025
Kapaz
-
Sabah
1:3
06.04.2025
Sabah
-
Kapaz
0:1
31.01.2025
Kapaz
-
Sabah
3:2
09.11.2024
Sabah
-
Kapaz
2:2
31.08.2024
Kapaz
-
Sabah
2:3
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
