Result
0:1
06/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 29
- Referee: Cabarov R. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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59% | 41% |
Total shots |
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16 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 3 |
Total shots |
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16 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Ba M. ↓, Tagiyev E. ↑,
- 30', Lepinjica I. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Almeyda V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Shafiyev S. ↓, Pachu ↑,
- 53', Huseynli R. 🟨,
- 57', Mammadov S. ↓, Khaybulaev A. ↑,
- 57', Parris K. ↓, Nuriyev A. ↑,
- 57', Letic B. ↓, Dashdamirov R. ↑,
- 57', Aliyev K. ↓, Sekidika J. ↑,
- 69', Mabatshoev S. ↓, Buhagiar T. ↑,
- 69', Cafarov C. ↓, Shahverdiyev E. ↑,
- 80', Manafov T. 🟨,
- 81', Rakhmonaliyev U. ↓, Kupusovic N. ↑,
- 90+2', Ardazishvili R. ↓, Samadov A. ↑,
- 90+3', Samadov A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sabah 60.7% | Draw 23.8% | Kapaz 15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sabah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Kapaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sabah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Sabah - Kapaz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.5 ↑ (1.44) |
3.82 ↓ (3.97) |
5.84 ↓ (6.72) |
10.1% (9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabah won 3.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Kapaz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Sabah is certain favorite.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Sabah won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 36:19 (average 2.6:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sabah won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:8 (average 2.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sabah won against Kapaz?
Sabah has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kapaz won against Sabah?
Kapaz has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sabah - Kapaz were as follows:
31.01.2025
Kapaz
-
Sabah
3:2
09.11.2024
Sabah
-
Kapaz
2:2
31.08.2024
Kapaz
-
Sabah
2:3
21.04.2024
Kapaz
-
Sabah
1:2
17.02.2024
Sabah
-
Kapaz
3:2
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Qarabag | 36 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 86:19 | 67 | 89 |
2 | Zira | 36 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 59:27 | 32 | 74 |
3 | Araz | 36 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 58 |
4 | Turan | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 45:39 | 6 | 55 |
5 | Sabah Baku | 36 | 10 | 18 | 8 | 50:46 | 4 | 48 |
6 | Neftci Baku | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 39:49 | -10 | 43 |
7 | Shamakhi | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 32:46 | -14 | 36 |
8 | Sumqayit | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 31:53 | -22 | 33 |
9 | Kapaz | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 28:65 | -37 | 32 |
10 | Sabail | 36 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 28:59 | -31 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa