Result
0:2
31/01/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
- Referee: Calilov C. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Agcabayov A. ⚽,
- 25', Apolinario R. 🟨,
- 45', Rzayev A. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Rossi K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Isayev M. ↓, Nabiyev F. ↑,
- 46', Rzayev V. ↓, Haciyev R. ↑,
- 46', Shahverdiyev E. ↓, Pachu ↑,
- 46', Ba M. ↓, Seyidov S. ↑,
- 54', Seyidov S. 🟨,
- 58', Apolinario R. ↓, Msanga A. ↑,
- 62', Rzayev A. ↓, Ismayilov H. ↑,
- 72', Onanuga O. ↓, Abilov E. ↑,
- 80', Verdasca D. 🟨,
- 82', Rossi K. ↓, Shuaibu A. ↑,
- 82', Balau D. ↓, Tircoveanu A. ↑,
- 82', Adilkhanov E. ↓, Suleymanov E. ↑,
- 88', Ricardo Fernandes 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kapaz
33% | Draw
30.8% | Shamakhi
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kapaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shamakhi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kapaz - Shamakhi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↓
(2.98) |
2.98 ↓
(3.05) |
2.54 ↑
(2.22) |
8.7%
(11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Kapaz - Shamakhi?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Kapaz (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kapaz (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Kapaz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kapaz won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Kapaz won against Shamakhi?
Kapaz has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shamakhi won against Kapaz?
Shamakhi has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kapaz - Shamakhi were as follows:
17.10.2025
Shamakhi
-
Kapaz
1:4
20.04.2025
Shamakhi
-
Kapaz
2:1
17.02.2025
Kapaz
-
Shamakhi
1:1
30.11.2024
Shamakhi
-
Kapaz
0:1
20.09.2024
Kapaz
-
Shamakhi
0:2
Latest results of Shamakhi
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
