Result
13/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
AP Brera Strumica 52.5% | Draw 26.6% | Shkupi 20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AP Brera Strumica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AP Brera Strumica's performance.Shkupi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shkupi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AP Brera Strumica than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AP Brera Strumica that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shkupi than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shkupi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AP Brera Strumica - Shkupi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↓ (2.12) |
3.47 ↑ (3.2) |
4.4 ↑ (3.17) |
8.6% (10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AP Brera Strumica - Shkupi?
Users Predictions:
AP Brera Strumica will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AP Brera Strumica will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. MFL and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. MFL).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brera Strumica won 1.
- Recent form of Brera Strumica has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Shkupi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Shkupi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Brera Strumica has had a series of away games.
- Brera Strumica will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brera Strumica won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brera Strumica won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has AP Brera Strumica won against Shkupi?
AP Brera Strumica has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shkupi won against AP Brera Strumica?
Shkupi has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AP Brera Strumica - Shkupi were as follows:
07.05.2025
AP Brera Strumica
-
Shkupi
4:3
23.02.2025
AP Brera Strumica
-
Shkupi
1:2
05.10.2024
Shkupi
-
AP Brera Strumica
3:1
12.05.2024
Shkupi
-
AP Brera Strumica
0:0
10.12.2023
AP Brera Strumica
-
Shkupi
0:1
Latest results of AP Brera Strumica
North Macedonian 1 MFL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vardar | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 13 |
2 | Sileks | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:0 | 12 | 12 |
3 | Struga | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 12 |
4 | Shkendija | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 10 |
5 | Bashkimi | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
6 | Pelister | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
7 | Makedonija GP | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 3 |
8 | Arsimi | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
9 | Tikves | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
10 | Brera Strumica | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
11 | Rabotnicki | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
12 | Shkupi | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:14 | -11 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. MFL