Nocerina vs Afragolese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group H Nocerina - Afragolese
12/02/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Nocerina
34.3%
Draw
30.2%
Afragolese
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 30.1% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 28.2% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nocerina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Afragolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Nocerina - Afragolese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.37)
    3
    (2.89)
    2.55
    (2.61)
    10.6%
    (15.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nocerina - Afragolese were as follows:
    09.10.2022 Afragolese - Nocerina 3:1
    Latest results of Nocerina
    05.02.2023 Nocerina - Casarano 0:0
    29.01.2023 Lavello - Nocerina 1:0
    22.01.2023 Nocerina - Martina Calcio 0:1
    15.01.2023 Francavilla - Nocerina 3:2
    08.01.2023 Nocerina - Gravina 2:1
    Latest results of Afragolese
    05.02.2023 Afragolese - Gravina 0:2
    22.01.2023 Afragolese - Francavilla 3:2
    15.01.2023 Cavese - Afragolese 1:1
    08.01.2023 Afragolese - Bitonto 1:2
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Martina Calcio22004:046
    2Citta di Fasano22004:136
    3Heraclea22002:026
    4Virtus Francavilla21107:434
    5SS Nola 192521104:224
    6Fidelis Andria21103:124
    7Francavilla21103:214
    8Sarnese21103:214
    9Paganese21012:203
    10Barletta20203:302
    11Pompei20200:002
    12Real Normanna20111:2-11
    13Acerrana20111:2-11
    14Ferrandina20111:3-21
    15Gravina20022:5-30
    16Afragolese20022:5-30
    17Manfredonia20024:8-40
    18A.C.D. Nardo20021:5-40

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation