Result
3:1
14/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 4
- Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Albania | SuperSport 3 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4 |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
China | Migu |
Colombia | ESPN 2 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
Italy | Sky Sport Calcio |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.13 | 1.56 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
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23 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 4 |
Passes |
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86% (387/449) | 86% (422/489) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.13 | 1.56 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.76 | 1.88 |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 0 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
9 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
34 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
86% (387/449) | 86% (422/489) |
Long passes |
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56% (19/34) | 46% (22/48) |
Passes in final third |
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78% (128/164) | 75% (76/101) |
Crosses |
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16% (3/19) | 33% (4/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.03 | 1.24 |
Throw-ins |
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15 | 15 |
Fouls |
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18 | 13 |
Tackles |
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82% (14/17) | 53% (9/17) |
Duels won |
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42 | 52 |
Clearances |
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11 | 19 |
Interceptions |
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12 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.88 | 1.76 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.88 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Tolisso C. ⚽, Maitland-Niles A. (A),
- 26', Frankowski P. 🟨,
- 43', Tolisso C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Ait Boudlal A. ↓, Seidu A. ↑,
- 46', Frankowski P. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
- 48', Seidu A. 🟨,
- 53', Clinton Mata 🟨,
- 67', Karabec A. ↓, Ghezzal R. ↑,
- 69', Embolo B. ↓, Meite M. ↑,
- 69', Cisse D. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
- 75', Merah K. ↓, Sulc P. ↑,
- 76', Morton T. 🟥,
- 80', 1 - 1, Rouault A. ⚽, Meite M. (A),
- 85', Fofana M. ↓, Kluivert R. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Descamps R. (Own goal),
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Meite M. ⚽, Tamari M. (A),
- 90+9', Blas L. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rennes 37.8% | Draw 27.2% | Lyon 35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Rennes - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.54 ↓ (2.76) |
3.52 ↓ (3.58) |
2.71 ↑ (2.45) |
4.8% (5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rennes - Lyon?
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 11 - 27.5%). Lyon will win (votes: 23 - 57.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 42.2% – 72.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Rennes (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lyon (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 2.
- In recent matches, Rennes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lyon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Rennes: Camara M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Lyon: Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Lyon?
Rennes has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Rennes?
Lyon has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rennes - Lyon were as follows:
26.04.2025
Lyon
-
Rennes
4:1
18.08.2024
Rennes
-
Lyon
3:0
26.01.2024
Lyon
-
Rennes
2:3
12.11.2023
Rennes
-
Lyon
0:1
09.04.2023
Lyon
-
Rennes
3:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | PSG | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 12 |
2 | Lille | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 10 |
3 | Monaco | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
4 | Lyon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
5 | Strasbourg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Rennes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
7 | Marseille | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 6 |
8 | Nice | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
9 | Lens | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
10 | Toulouse | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
11 | Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
12 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
13 | Le Havre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
14 | Nantes | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
15 | Auxerre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
16 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
17 | Brest | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 1 |
18 | Metz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2