Result
2:1
06/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Koga S. 🟨,
- 25', Sakai S. 🟨,
- 40', Tomita K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 0, Nishikubo S. ⚽, Kawano R. (A),
- 56', Murakami Y. ↓, Fujikawa K. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Shin K. ⚽,
- 70', Kutsuna K. ↓, Fujimori R. ↑,
- 70', Shin K. ↓, Ukita K. ↑,
- 72', Kawano R. ↓, Takano R. ↑,
- 72', Sugimoto R. ↓, Fukui K. ↑,
- 72', Rafael Furtado ↓, Takagi A. ↑,
- 81', Nakayama R. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
- 84', Hasegawa Y. ↓, Lim Ji-hoon ↑,
- 84', Yamanaka R. ↓, Sanda N. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Takano R. ⚽,
- 89', Tokunaga Y. ↓, Takusari Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sagamihara
44.5% | Draw
28.7% | Nagano Parceiro
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Sagamihara - Nagano Parceiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.06) |
3.18 ↓
(3.3) |
3.4 ↑
(3.24) |
9.5%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sagamihara - Nagano Parceiro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sagamihara (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sagamihara will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 0.
- Sagamihara has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nagano is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nagano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sagamihara will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sagamihara won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sagamihara won against Nagano Parceiro?
Sagamihara has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagano Parceiro won against Sagamihara?
Nagano Parceiro has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagamihara - Nagano Parceiro were as follows:
03.05.2025
Nagano Parceiro
-
Sagamihara
1:1
31.08.2024
Sagamihara
-
Nagano Parceiro
1:1
09.03.2024
Nagano Parceiro
-
Sagamihara
1:1
29.07.2023
Nagano Parceiro
-
Sagamihara
1:0
15.04.2023
Sagamihara
-
Nagano Parceiro
0:1
Latest results of Sagamihara
Latest results of Nagano Parceiro
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 36:17 | 19 | 60 |
| 2 | Tochigi City | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 48:31 | 17 | 57 |
| 3 | Kagoshima Utd | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 56:29 | 27 | 54 |
| 4 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 42:34 | 8 | 50 |
| 5 | Osaka | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Nara Club | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 45 |
| 7 | Tochigi SC | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 43 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 30:29 | 1 | 40 |
| 9 | Kanazawa | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Fukushima Utd | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 48:59 | -11 | 38 |
| 11 | Sagamihara | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 29:39 | -10 | 37 |
| 12 | Yamaga | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 36 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 28:32 | -4 | 36 |
| 14 | Gifu | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 35 |
| 15 | Ryukyu | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 34 |
| 16 | Kochi United | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 37:50 | -13 | 34 |
| 17 | Nagano | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 25:39 | -14 | 29 |
| 18 | Kusatsu | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 28 |
| 19 | Kamatamare | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34:42 | -8 | 28 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 31:42 | -11 | 21 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
