Result
3:2
19/12/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 18
- Referee: Prskalo Z. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 3.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (368/464) | 73% (252/347) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 3.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 2.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (368/464) | 73% (252/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (33/57) | 51% (39/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (90/126) | 66% (94/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.91 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.56 | -1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Seiler S. ⚽, Schwizer D. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Filet E. ⚽, Muller S. (A),
- 26', Acquah D. 🟨,
- 40', Lang N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 54', Dickenmann M. 🟨,
- 57', Chacon T. ↓, Frokaj L. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Schwizer D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 62', Hammerich M. ↓, De Donno G. ↑,
- 65', Dickenmann M. 🟨,
- 68', Akinola A. 🟨,
- 71', Koide H. ↓, Derbaci D. ↑,
- 71', Akinola A. ↓, Monsberger M. ↑,
- 71', Acquah D. ↓, Kessler R. ↑,
- 83', Filet E. ↓, Afriyie D. ↑,
- 83', Zoukit N. ↓, Bobadilla R. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 2, Afriyie D. ⚽, Guzzo R. (A),
- 87', Navarro J. ↓, De Donno J. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 2, Seiler S. ⚽,
- 90+4', Bobadilla R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vaduz
41.8% | Draw
26.5% | Aarau
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Vaduz - Aarau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2.17) |
3.49 ↑
(3.39) |
2.91 ↓
(2.99) |
8.4%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Vaduz - Aarau?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Vaduz will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Aarau will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarau: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aarau (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaduz won 0.
- Vaduz has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Aarau's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vaduz might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Vaduz: Eberhard M.
(Broken collarbone)
Gasser C.
(Inactive)
Oehri T.
(Inactive)
Sawadogo M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Knee Injury)
Obexer L.
(Yellow Cards)
Petit V.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaduz won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vaduz won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Vaduz won against Aarau?
Vaduz has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Vaduz?
Aarau has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vaduz - Aarau were as follows:
13.09.2025
Aarau
-
Vaduz
1:0
18.04.2025
Aarau
-
Vaduz
2:2
23.02.2025
Vaduz
-
Aarau
0:1
05.10.2024
Aarau
-
Vaduz
0:0
20.09.2024
Vaduz
-
Aarau
2:5
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 46:22 | 24 | 48 |
| 2 | Aarau | 20 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 38:23 | 15 | 48 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 36 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 32 |
| 5 | Xamax | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 25 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 20 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 21:29 | -8 | 22 |
| 7 | Stade Nyonnais | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 20 |
| 8 | Wil | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 20 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18:28 | -10 | 17 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 18:36 | -18 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
