Result
2:2
25/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 32
- Referee: Sanli H. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (306/392) | 72% (306/425) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 2.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (306/392) | 72% (306/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (21/58) | 42% (38/90) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (86/131) | 63% (88/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -1.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, N'djoli J. ⚽, Breedijk L. (A),
- 20', 1 - 1, Filet E. ⚽, Fazliu V. (A),
- 45', 2 - 1, N'djoli J. ⚽, Staubli T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 2, Obexer L. ⚽,
- 55', Afriyie D. ↓, Vladi S. ↑,
- 55', Derbaci D. ↓, Frokaj L. ↑,
- 61', Ndau K. 🟨,
- 71', Obexer L. ↓, Petit V. ↑,
- 71', Filet E. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
- 74', Breedijk L. ↓, Rapp S. ↑,
- 74', N'djoli J. ↓, Diarra M. ↑,
- 74', Jacovic D. ↓, Kaiba D. ↑,
- 84', Staubli T. ↓, Bunjaku O. ↑,
- 86', Fazliu V. ↓, Aliu I. ↑,
- 87', Ndau K. ↓, Hajij M. ↑,
- 90+6', Dalipi L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Wil 1900
19% | Draw
23.1% | Aarau
57.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wil 1900 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wil 1900's form might have worsened.Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aarau's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wil 1900 than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wil 1900, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aarau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Wil 1900 - Aarau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.86 ↑
(3.44) |
4 ↑
(3.7) |
1.6 ↓
(1.9) |
8.2%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Wil 1900 - Aarau?
Users Predictions:
Aarau will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aarau will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wil won 1.
- Wil has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aarau is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Aarau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Aarau is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Wil: Bytyqi E.
(Inactive)
Selmonaj J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Aarau: Guzzo R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wil won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 38:34. (average 1.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wil won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 2.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Wil 1900 won against Aarau?
Wil 1900 has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Wil 1900?
Aarau has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wil 1900 - Aarau were as follows:
07.02.2026
Aarau
-
Wil 1900
2:2
24.10.2025
Aarau
-
Wil 1900
2:0
01.08.2025
Wil 1900
-
Aarau
1:3
09.05.2025
Aarau
-
Wil 1900
2:4
16.03.2025
Wil 1900
-
Aarau
0:1
Latest results of Wil 1900
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 67:35 | 32 | 74 |
| 2 | Aarau | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 65:42 | 23 | 70 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 66:40 | 26 | 60 |
| 4 | Xamax | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 47:49 | -2 | 43 |
| 5 | Lausanne Ouchy | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 47:47 | 0 | 40 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 32 | 12 | 2 | 18 | 43:53 | -10 | 38 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 38:44 | -6 | 36 |
| 8 | Wil | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 33:49 | -16 | 34 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 32 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 30:49 | -19 | 28 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 34:62 | -28 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
