Result
2:1
02/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 3
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (445/525) | 83% (343/415) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (445/525) | 83% (343/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (15/40) | 48% (27/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (80/124) | 74% (69/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 2.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Thordarson G. ↓, Gholizadeh A. ↑,
- 46', Szymczak F. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Bengtsson L. ⚽, Pereira J. (A),
- 64', Bengtsson L. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
- 68', Lukoszek K. ↓, Tsirigotis T. ↑,
- 68', Ismaheel T. ↓, Sow O. ↑,
- 68', Gholizadeh A. 🟨,
- 72', Kozubal A. ↓, Ouma T. ↑,
- 74', Ambros L. 🟨,
- 78', Ambros L. ↓, Podolski L. ↑,
- 78', Massimo R. ↓, Dziegielewski N. ↑,
- 79', Hellebrand P. ↓, Goh Young-Jun ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, Ishak M. ⚽,
- 82', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
- 83', Ishak M. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Sow O. ⚽, Goh Young-Jun (A),
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań
54.4% | Draw
25.3% | Górnik Zabrze
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.66) |
3.72 ↑
(3.7) |
4.64 ↓
(4.91) |
6.7%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 1.
- In recent matches, Lech has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Górnik Zabrze is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lech is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Lech: Baranski B.
(Muscle Injury)
Hakans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Murawski R.
(Leg Injury)
Rodriguez P.
(Inactive)
Walemark P.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Lech: Sousa A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Górnik Zabrze?
Lech Poznań has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Lech Poznań?
Górnik Zabrze has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
06.12.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Lech Poznań
2:1
21.07.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Górnik Zabrze
2:0
09.03.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Lech Poznań
0:0
02.09.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Górnik Zabrze
1:1
16.10.2022
Górnik Zabrze
-
Lech Poznań
1:2
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Termalica B-B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Legia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Zaglebie | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Rakow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
