Lech Poznań vs Górnik Zabrze – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Polish Cup - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandTVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Chances of winning


Lech Poznań
48.3%
Draw
26.1%
Górnik Zabrze
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 25.4% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 24.4% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.99)
    3.53
    (3.51)
    3.59
    (3)
    8.8%
    (12.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 3.
    • Lech is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Górnik Zabrze's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Górnik Zabrze may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lech could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
    07.02.2026 Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań 0:1
    02.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze 2:1
    06.12.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań 2:1
    21.07.2024 Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze 2:0
    09.03.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań 0:0
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1LKS LomzaBye
    2ByeOdra Opole
    3Korona Kielce IIBye
    4ByePiast Gliwice
    5Gryf SlupskBye
    6ByePolonia Warszawa
    8ByeLech Poznan
    9Stal MielecBye
    10ByePuszcza
    11Grodzisk M.Wisla Pulawy3 : 0
    12ByeLechia Gdansk
    13Arka GdyniaBye
    14ByeMotor Lublin
    15Legia IIBye
    16ByeGornik Zabrze
    17ZawiszaBye
    18ByeTychy
    19WikielecBye
    20PodbeskidzieR. Rzeszow2 : 1
    21Siarka TarnobrzegBye
    22Hutnik KrakowZaglebie Sosnowiec3 : 0
    23Bytom OdrzanskiBye
    24ByeWisla
    25AndrychowBye
    26ChojniczankaBielsko-Biala2 : 1
    27Legnica IIBye
    28Swit SzczecinLKS Lodz II2 : 1
    29OzimekBye
    30ByePruszkow
    31S. RzeszowBye
    32ByeKorona Kielce
    33Avia SwidnikBye
    34ByeRuch Chorzow
    35SwinoujscieBye
    36KKS KaliszGKS Jastrzebie0 : 2
    37Goczalkowice Zdroj IIBye
    38S. WolaSkra3 : 1
    39Warta PoznanOlimpia Elblag1 : 0
    40Polonia BytomZaglebie II7 : 1
    41SrodaBye
    42Wieczysta KrakowOl. Grudziadz0 : 1
    43T. MazowieckiBye
    44ByeSlask Wroclaw
    45RakowBye
    47LecznaBye
    48ByeCracovia
    49LKS LodzBye
    50ByeChrobry Glogow
    51GKS KatowiceBye
    52ByeWisla Plock
    53LegnicaBye
    54ByePogon Siedlce
    56ByeJagiellonia
    57LegiaBye
    59Kotwica KolobrzegBye
    60ByePogon Szczecin
    61Termalica B-B.Bye
    62ByeWidzew Lodz
    63Radomiak RadomBye
    64ByeZaglebie

    1/32-finals
    1LKS LomzaOdra Opole0 : 2
    2Korona Kielce IIPiast Gliwice0 : 1
    3Gryf SlupskPolonia Warszawa1 : 0
    4ByeLech Poznan
    5Stal MielecPuszcza1 : 2
    6Grodzisk M.Lechia Gdansk0 : 1
    7Arka GdyniaMotor Lublin1 : 0
    8Legia IIGornik Zabrze0 : 3
    9ZawiszaTychy2 : 0
    10WikielecPodbeskidzie2 : 1
    11Siarka TarnobrzegHutnik Krakow0 : 1
    12Bytom OdrzanskiWisla0 : 1
    13AndrychowChojniczanka0 : 3
    14Legnica IISwit Szczecin1 : 3
    15OzimekPruszkow1 : 2
    16S. RzeszowKorona Kielce0 : 1
    17Avia SwidnikRuch Chorzow3 : 1
    18SwinoujscieGKS Jastrzebie3 : 2
    19Goczalkowice Zdroj IIS. Wola3 : 1
    20Warta PoznanPolonia Bytom0 : 1
    21SrodaOl. Grudziadz1 : 3
    22T. MazowieckiSlask Wroclaw1 : 2
    23RakowBye
    24LecznaCracovia1 : 5
    25LKS LodzChrobry Glogow5 : 3
    26GKS KatowiceWisla Plock4 : 2
    27LegnicaPogon Siedlce2 : 0
    28ByeJagiellonia
    29LegiaBye
    30Kotwica KolobrzegPogon Szczecin0 : 3
    31Termalica B-B.Widzew Lodz2 : 3
    32Radomiak RadomZaglebie0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Odra OpolePiast Gliwice0 : 2
    2Gryf SlupskLech Poznan1 : 2
    3PuszczaLechia Gdansk1 : 3
    4Arka GdyniaGornik Zabrze1 : 2
    5ZawiszaWikielec3 : 0
    6Hutnik KrakowWisla0 : 1
    7ChojniczankaSwit Szczecin3 : 1
    8PruszkowKorona Kielce0 : 3
    9Avia SwidnikSwinoujscie3 : 0
    10Goczalkowice Zdroj IIPolonia Bytom0 : 7
    11Ol. GrudziadzSlask Wroclaw0 : 1
    12RakowCracovia3 : 0
    13LKS LodzGKS Katowice1 : 2
    14LegnicaJagiellonia2 : 3
    15LegiaPogon Szczecin1 : 2
    16Widzew LodzZaglebie1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Piast GliwiceLech Poznan0 : 2
    2Lechia GdanskGornik Zabrze1 : 3
    3ZawiszaWisla4 : 1
    4ChojniczankaKorona Kielce2 : 1
    5Avia SwidnikPolonia Bytom4 : 2
    6Slask WroclawRakow1 : 2
    7GKS KatowiceJagiellonia3 : 1
    8Pogon SzczecinWidzew Lodz0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Lech PoznanGornik Zabrze
    2ZawiszaChojniczanka
    3Avia SwidnikRakow
    4GKS KatowiceWidzew Lodz2 : 1