Termalica Nieciecza vs Górnik Zabrze – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza (Nieciecza).

Ekstraklasa - Round 21
Referee: Malec P. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Strike, Strike
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 4
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.26	1.14
Ball possession
30%	70%
Total shots
12	22
Shots on target
3	3
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
2	10
Passes
67% (164/246)	86% (508/593)
Yellow cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.26	1.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.74	0.39
Total shots
12	22
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
4	12
Blocked shots
5	7
Shots inside the box
8	11
Shots outside the box
4	11
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
2	10
Touches in opposition box
20	46
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free kicks
9	12
Passes
67% (164/246)	86% (508/593)
Long passes
44% (24/54)	54% (33/61)
Passes in final third
57% (49/86)	72% (133/184)
Crosses
29% (5/17)	13% (3/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	0.88
Throw ins
15	12
Fouls
12	9
Tackles
75% (6/8)	38% (5/13)
Duels won
38	46
Clearances
38	20
Interceptions
12	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.39	1.74
Goals prevented
0.39	0.74

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Fassbender M. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Kasperkiewicz A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Zapolnik K. ↓, Durdov I. ↑,
68', Fassbender M. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
68', Kurzawa R. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
71', Hilbrycht D. 🟨,
74', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Wolski M. ↑,
83', Liseth S. ↓, Rupanov B. ↑,
83', Khlan M. ↓, Massimo R. ↑,
83', Strzalek I. ↓, Biniek D. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Termalica Nieciecza
27.2%

Draw
27.5%

Górnik Zabrze
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Górnik Zabrze's recent form is better than expected.

Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.88)	3.4 ↑ (3.1)	2.07 ↓ (2.22)	6.7% (12%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Termalica (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Górnik Zabrze will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Termalica (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Górnik Zabrze (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 2.
Termalica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Górnik Zabrze may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Górnik Zabrze will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Termalica: Ambrosiewicz M. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Janicki R. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Górnik Zabrze?

Termalica Nieciecza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Termalica Nieciecza?

Górnik Zabrze has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:

08.08.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Termalica Nieciecza 0:1

Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza

08.02.2026 Pogoń Szczecin - Termalica Nieciecza 1:1 ✺

02.02.2026 Termalica Nieciecza - Cracovia 0:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Termalica Nieciecza - Stal Rzeszów 8:1 ✺

16.01.2026 Termalica Nieciecza - Spartak Subotica 1:0 ✺

13.01.2026 IMT Novi Beograd - Termalica Nieciecza 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Górnik Zabrze

07.02.2026 Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań 0:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Górnik Zabrze - Piast Gliwice 2:1 ✺

23.01.2026 Górnik Zabrze - Slovan Bratislava Canceled ✺

10.01.2026 Žilina - Górnik Zabrze 0:1 ✺

05.12.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Zabrze 5:2 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	30	14	10	6	55:41	14	52
2	Gornik Zabrze	30	14	7	9	43:34	9	49
3	Jagiellonia	30	12	10	8	48:37	11	46
4	Rakow	30	13	7	10	43:37	6	46
5	Wisla Plock	30	12	9	9	32:28	4	45
6	GKS Katowice	30	13	5	12	43:41	2	44
7	Zaglebie	30	12	8	10	43:36	7	44
8	Radomiak Radom	30	10	10	10	46:43	3	40
9	Motor Lublin	30	9	12	9	39:45	-6	39
10	Piast Gliwice	30	11	6	13	39:40	-1	39
11	Lechia Gdansk	30	12	7	11	57:54	3	38
12	Korona Kielce	30	10	8	12	37:36	1	38
13	Cracovia	30	9	11	10	35:38	-3	38
14	Pogon Szczecin	30	11	5	14	40:45	-5	38
15	Legia	30	8	13	9	34:36	-2	37
16	Widzew Lodz	30	10	6	14	36:37	-1	36
17	Arka Gdynia	30	9	7	14	31:54	-23	34
18	Termalica B-B	30	7	7	16	36:55	-19	28

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      Relegation ~ Division 1