Result
1:2
22/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 13
- Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Croatia | SportKlub 7 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 India | Eurosport, JioTV app |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1, Sport TV2 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (551/625) | 79% (282/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (551/625) | 79% (282/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (34/50) | 56% (44/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (133/173) | 63% (48/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (7/39) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Weghorst W. 🟨,
- 24', Bronkhorst I. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Naujoks N. ⚽, Meissen R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 0 - 2, Naujoks N. ⚽,
- 52', Hartjes L. ↓, Carlen A. ↑,
- 57', Sutalo J. 🟨,
- 57', Gaaei A. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 2, Dolberg K. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
- 66', Bergraaf J. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
- 66', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Mitrovic S. ↑,
- 76', Alders G. ↓, Wijndal O. ↑,
- 76', Edvardsen O. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
- 84', Martens N. ↓, Janssen S. ↑,
- 84', Widell C. ↓, Schouten L. ↑,
- 84', Sutalo J. ↓, Klaassen D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ajax
71.3% | Draw
16.6% | Excelsior
12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ajax - Excelsior Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.35) |
5.7 ↑
(5.44) |
7.97 ↑
(7.36) |
5.1%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Ajax - Excelsior?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Excelsior will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 40.8% – 77.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Excelsior (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 3.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- In this match, Ajax is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Ajax: van den Boomen B.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Excelsior: Booth Z.
(Injury)
Janssen S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Berghuis S.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Excelsior: Bronkhorst I.
(Injury)
Hartjes L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 48:16. (average 3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:9. (average 3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Excelsior?
Ajax has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Ajax?
Excelsior has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Excelsior were as follows:
24.04.2024
Ajax
-
Excelsior
2:2
19.08.2023
Excelsior
-
Ajax
2:2
29.01.2023
Excelsior
-
Ajax
1:4
16.10.2022
Ajax
-
Excelsior
7:1
Latest results of Excelsior
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 19 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 59:23 | 36 | 52 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 47:27 | 20 | 36 |
| 3 | Ajax | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 37:26 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 47:32 | 15 | 32 |
| 5 | Groningen | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | Twente | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 24:34 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:30 | 1 | 24 |
| 10 | Utrecht | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 23 |
| 11 | Zwolle | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25:40 | -15 | 23 |
| 12 | Sittard | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 22 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:35 | -15 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21:33 | -12 | 17 |
| 16 | Telstar | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 16 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19:30 | -11 | 14 |
| 18 | Heracles | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 26:48 | -22 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
