Novara vs Lecco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
09/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
24
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
75
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', 🟨,
  • 33', Khailoti O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 65', Furrer G. 🟨,
  • 71', 1 - 0, da Graca C. ,
  • 72', Frigerio M. R. , Galeandro A. ,
  • 73', Furrer G. , Pellegrino G. ,
  • 73', Battistini M. , Rizzo M. ,
  • 74', Alberti T. 🟨,
  • 82', Dell'Erba D. , Valdesi A. ,
  • 87', Zanellato N. , Alaoui A. ,
  • 87', Romani L. , Ndongue F. ,
  • 90+6', Agyemang G. , D'Alessio L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Novara
38.7%
Draw
30%
Lecco
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 29.6% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 31.5% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Novara's form might have worsened.
  • Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lecco's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lecco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Novara - Lecco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.02)
    3.06
    (3.1)
    2.93
    (3.65)
    9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Novara - Lecco?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Novara will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Lecco will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novara won 1.
    • Recent performances by Novara have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lecco is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Novara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Novara could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Novara won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Novara won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Novara - Lecco were as follows:
    17.01.2025 Lecco - Novara 1:1
    16.09.2024 Novara - Lecco 0:0
    11.02.2023 Lecco - Novara 3:1
    16.10.2022 Novara - Lecco 1:2
    Latest results of Novara
    01.11.2025 Pergolettese - Novara 2:2
    24.10.2025 Novara - Virtus Verona 1:1
    11.10.2025 Giana Erminio - Novara 0:0
    05.10.2025 Novara - Triestina 0:0
    Latest results of Lecco
    25.10.2025 Renate - Lecco 0:1
    19.10.2025 Lecco - Brescia 0:1
    12.10.2025 AlbinoLeffe - Lecco 0:1
    04.10.2025 Virtus Verona - Lecco 2:2
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza30226251:183372
    2Brescia30168643:212256
    3Trento301312545:311451
    4Renate30149740:261451
    5Lecco30148835:26950
    6Alcione Milano301461030:181248
    7Cittadella30138936:33347
    8Inter U23301012834:31342
    9Lumezzane3010101033:33040
    10Novara30718531:28339
    11Giana Erminio301091127:30-339
    12Pro Vercelli301151432:42-1038
    13AlbinoLeffe309101139:41-237
    14Ospitaletto307131031:32-134
    15Arzignano30971439:44-534
    16Pergolettese30881429:40-1132
    17Dolomiti Bellunesi30881427:48-2132
    18Virtus Verona303121527:44-1721
    19Pro Patria30391823:54-3118
    20Triestina30761732:44-124

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation