Result
1:1
01/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (275/376) | 75% (275/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (275/376) | 75% (275/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (30/75) | 29% (18/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (69/110) | 70% (83/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+3', Okereke E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Haukioja M. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 0, Haukioja M. ⚽, El Ouatki Y. (A),
- 67', Wilson W. ↓, Raisanen A. ↑,
- 67', El-Kathemi E. ↓, Cardoso H. ↑,
- 67', Olawale M. ↓, Nissinen J. ↑,
- 69', Dekker T. ↓, Daoussi Y. ↑,
- 84', Dahlstrom S. ↓, Heyden J. ↑,
- 85', El Ouatki Y. ↓, Almen A. ↑,
- 86', Adedoyin K. ↓, Lundberg A. ↑,
- 86', Patut E. ↓, Nurmi N. ↑,
- 90+2', Leislahti R. 🟨,
- 90+5', Fleuriau N. ↓, Etok M. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Leislahti R. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
VPS Vaasa
58.8% | Draw
22.4% | IFK Mariehamn
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
VPS Vaasa - IFK Mariehamn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.58) |
4.19 ↓
(4.38) |
5.11 ↓
(5.2) |
6.1%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for VPS Vaasa - IFK Mariehamn?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. VPS will win (votes: 18 - 81.8%). Mariehamn will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for VPS: 65.7% – 97.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. VPS (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 4.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- In this match, VPS is the team to beat.
- There will not play in VPS: Lindeman S.
(Inactive)
Ronnberg V.
(Inactive)
Smyth L.
(Inactive)
Vahtera J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Mariehamn: Kivikko M.
(Inactive)
Raitanen P.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mariehamn: Toivonen E.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, VPS won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, VPS won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has VPS Vaasa won against IFK Mariehamn?
VPS Vaasa has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Mariehamn won against VPS Vaasa?
IFK Mariehamn has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between VPS Vaasa - IFK Mariehamn were as follows:
14.06.2025
IFK Mariehamn
-
VPS Vaasa
1:5
28.07.2024
VPS Vaasa
-
IFK Mariehamn
2:1
12.06.2024
IFK Mariehamn
-
VPS Vaasa
0:0
03.09.2023
IFK Mariehamn
-
VPS Vaasa
1:2
05.05.2023
VPS Vaasa
-
IFK Mariehamn
2:1
Latest results of VPS Vaasa
Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 46:20 | 26 | 46 |
| 2 | Ilves | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 47:27 | 20 | 45 |
| 3 | HJK | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 59:29 | 30 | 44 |
| 4 | KuPS | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:23 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | SJK | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 45:31 | 14 | 41 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 34:39 | -5 | 28 |
| 7 | VPS | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Jaro | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25:48 | -23 | 21 |
| 10 | AC Oulu | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 18 |
| 11 | Haka | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 16 |
| 12 | KTP | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 24:55 | -31 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
