IFK Mariehamn vs Ilves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
18/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Veikkausliiga - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.351.28
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
84
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
44
Passes
84% (389/463)83% (395/475)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.351.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.070.80
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
56
Blocked shots
45
Shots inside the box
119
Shots outside the box
66
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2225
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free kicks
813
Passes
84% (389/463)83% (395/475)
Long passes
40% (19/48)40% (21/52)
Passes in final third
74% (100/135)79% (115/146)
Crosses
24% (5/21)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.941.25
Throw ins
2011
Fouls
129
Tackles
50% (4/8)69% (9/13)
Duels won
2231
Clearances
2027
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
0.802.07
Goals prevented
-1.200.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Tiitinen O. , Kilo J. (A),
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Patut E. , Koivisto T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', 2 - 1, Dahlstrom S. , Patut E. (A),
  • 62', Miettunen T. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 2, Hytonen T. , Kilo J. (A),
  • 66', Kilo J. , Riski Ro. ,
  • 69', Ngulube S. , Soiniemi A. ,
  • 69', Dosis N. , Huttunen A. ,
  • 69', Andersson L. , Pearce L. ,
  • 75', Wallius K. 🟨,
  • 79', Kanga J. , Raymond A. ,
  • 83', Larsson A. , Hyvonen M. ,
  • 89', Dahlstrom S. , Lundberg A. ,
  • 90+2', Tiitinen O. , Raap Y. ,
  • 90+2', Stjopin M. , Multala O. ,
  • 90+3', Popovitch A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Patut E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


IFK Mariehamn
15.3%
Draw
21.2%
Ilves
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.3% 20% 63.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • IFK Mariehamn - Ilves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.08
    (5.71)
    4.54
    (4.67)
    1.48
    (1.47)
    5.9%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - Ilves?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mariehamn will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mariehamn (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1 - Mariehamn (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mariehamn (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 1.
    • Ilves is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ilves is seen as the favorite.
    • There are questionable in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L. (Injury) Vaisanen S. (Injury) Virtanen O. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:39. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1.1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - Ilves were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Ilves - IFK Mariehamn 2:1
    27.04.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Ilves 3:2
    11.08.2024 Ilves - IFK Mariehamn 2:0
    28.04.2024 IFK Mariehamn - Ilves 0:1
    27.09.2023 Ilves - IFK Mariehamn 2:1
    Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
    10.04.2026 SJK - IFK Mariehamn 3:0
    04.04.2026 IFK Mariehamn - TPS 1:1
    21.03.2026 Sandviken - IFK Mariehamn 1:1
    05.03.2026 IFK Mariehamn - Lahti 4:0
    11.02.2026 IFK Mariehamn - TPS 1:1
    Latest results of Ilves
    11.04.2026 Inter Turku - Ilves 3:2
    04.04.2026 Ilves - KuPS Kuopio 1:3
    14.03.2026 Inter Turku - Ilves 3:2
    21.02.2026 Ilves - Oulu 2:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1KuPS53209:5411
    2Inter Turku53206:2411
    3AC Oulu530210:649
    4HJK52218:358
    5TPS42206:338
    6Lahti42024:5-16
    7VPS41213:305
    8SJK41124:6-24
    9Jaro40312:3-13
    10Mariehamn40223:7-42
    11Ilves40136:10-41
    12Gnistan40132:10-81

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