Result
4:1
15/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Aragon TV |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Delgado J. ⚽,
- 6', 2 - 0, Aguado A. ⚽,
- 8', 3 - 0, Aguado A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+7', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Utebo
60.2% | Draw
25% | Alfaro
14.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Utebo's form might have worsened.Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utebo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-4%)
Utebo - Alfaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.35) |
3.66 ↓
(4.23) |
6.18 ↓
(7.9) |
9.5%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Utebo - Alfaro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alfaro (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Utebo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Alfaro is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Utebo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Utebo is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Utebo will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utebo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Utebo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Utebo won against Alfaro?
Utebo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alfaro won against Utebo?
Alfaro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utebo - Alfaro were as follows:
05.10.2025
Alfaro
-
Utebo
1:0
15.02.2025
Utebo
-
Alfaro
2:0
06.10.2024
Alfaro
-
Utebo
4:2
05.03.2023
Alfaro
-
Utebo
1:2
15.10.2022
Utebo
-
Alfaro
2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | R. Union | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 50:24 | 26 | 59 |
| 2 | Alaves B | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 32:15 | 17 | 51 |
| 3 | UD Logrones | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 61:28 | 33 | 50 |
| 4 | Utebo FC | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 49:36 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Tudelano | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 46:32 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | Sestao | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 43 |
| 7 | Ebro | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 37:29 | 8 | 41 |
| 8 | Eibar B | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 32:32 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Amorebieta | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:25 | 2 | 39 |
| 10 | Gernika | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 38 |
| 11 | Naxara | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 32:39 | -7 | 34 |
| 12 | Basconia | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Ejea | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | SD Logrones | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 20:34 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Mutilvera | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 27:50 | -23 | 29 |
| 16 | Beasain | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 28 |
| 17 | Zaragoza B | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22:48 | -26 | 22 |
| 18 | Alfaro | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 22:46 | -24 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
