Result
1:1
05/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 19
- Referee: Jenkins R. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Davies A. ⚽,
- 22', Wynne B. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 36', Lock J. 🟨,
- 37', Davies D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Thomas D. 🟨,
- 70', Thomas D. ↓, Ellis O. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Canavan J. ⚽,
- 90+2', Davies A. ↓, Abadaki O. ↑,
- 90+2', Lock J. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
- 90+5', Canavan J. ↓, Sanogo Fofana S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Caernarfon Town
48.3% | Draw
22.9% | Flint Town United
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caernarfon Town's form might have worsened.Flint Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flint Town United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Town United than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flint Town United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Caernarfon Town - Flint Town United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.59) |
4.05 ↓
(4.44) |
3.21 ↓
(4.61) |
8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 4.
- Caernarfon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Flint Town has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Flint Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Caernarfon is the team to beat.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:18. (average 2.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Flint Town United?
Caernarfon Town has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flint Town United won against Caernarfon Town?
Flint Town United has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Flint Town United were as follows:
22.08.2025
Flint Town United
-
Caernarfon Town
2:5
14.01.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Flint Town United
3:0
25.09.2024
Flint Town United
-
Caernarfon Town
1:2
19.04.2023
Flint Town United
-
Caernarfon Town
2:3
24.02.2023
Caernarfon Town
-
Flint Town United
2:2
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Latest results of Flint Town United
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 70:20 | 50 | 65 |
| 2 | Connahs Q | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 51:29 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Penybont | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37:40 | -3 | 40 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 37 |
| 6 | Barry | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 36 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
