Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League
Result
4:1
23/01/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV Asia
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV, Vidio
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandSPOTV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 7
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamSPOTV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.082.24
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
2317
Shots on target
87
Big chances
45
Corner kicks
64
Passes
83% (358/429)82% (348/422)
Expected goals (xG)
3.082.24
xG on target (xGOT)
3.202.00
Total shots
2317
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
114
Blocked shots
46
Shots inside the box
1815
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
45
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
4740
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free kicks
44
Passes
83% (358/429)82% (348/422)
Long passes
39% (12/31)61% (31/51)
Passes in final third
73% (93/127)69% (84/121)
Crosses
45% (5/11)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.830.95
Throw ins
2118
Fouls
44
Tackles
42% (8/19)58% (15/26)
Duels won
4651
Clearances
2021
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
14
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
54
xGOT faced
2.003.20
Goals prevented
1.00-0.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Bayliss L. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 56', 2 - 0, Taylor C. ⚽, Wilmering D. (A),
  • 70', 3 - 0, Adams E. ⚽, Bayliss L. (A),
  • 71', Adams E. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
  • 71', Eze I. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
  • 71', Armiento C. ↓, Mileusnic N. ↑,
  • 71', Taylor C. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
  • 71', Najjarine R. ↓, Retre P. ↑,
  • 72', Hughes I. ↓, Tuiloma B. ↑,
  • 80', Bayliss L. ↓, Scicluna L. ↑,
  • 80', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
  • 82', Nagasawa K. ↓, Kartum S. ↑,
  • 86', 3 - 1, Kartum S. ⚽, Payne T. (A),
  • 89', 4 - 1, Bertoncello X. ⚽, Bertolissio J. (A),
  • 90+1', Dobson W. ↓, Nunes A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Newcastle Jets
56.8%		Draw
20.8%		Wellington Phoenix
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 22.2% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 21.2% 20.6%

Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.66 ↑
(1.64)		 4.49 ↑
(4.15)		 4.2 ↓
(4.26)		 6.2%
(8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 11 - 50%). Wellington will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 29.1% – 70.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Wellington (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • EH -1 - Newcastle (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Wellington (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Wellington (2.12) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 6 - 50%). Wellington (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • In this match, Newcastle is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Aquilina T. (Inactive) Badolato A. (Injury) Bracco C. (Inactive) Clough Z. (Inactive) Fryer O. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Wellington: Edwards D. (Inactive) Ishige H. (Injury) Kartum S. (Inactive) Oluwayemi J. (Injury) Smith J. (Inactive) Supyk L. (Injury) Walker N. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Newcastle will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 36:29. (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets 1:3
    06.04.2025 Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix 1:2
    27.12.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets 2:1
    19.04.2024 Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix 1:1
    27.01.2024 Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix 1:2
    Latest results of Newcastle Jets
    17.01.2026 Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets 1:2 ✺
    11.01.2026 Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets 0:1 ✺
    31.12.2025 Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets 1:3 ✺
    26.12.2025 Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC 4:5 ✺
    20.12.2025 Newcastle Jets - Sydney 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
    18.01.2026 Sydney - Wellington Phoenix 0:2 ✺
    10.01.2026 Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United 2:2 ✺
    03.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix 0:3 ✺
    29.12.2025 Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix 5:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners 3:1 ✺
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets16100637:28930
    2Auckland FC1684423:17628
    3Sydney FC1581622:15725
    4Macarthur FC1767424:23125
    5Melbourne Victory1672723:21223
    6Adelaide United1672726:26023
    7Melbourne City1757519:21-222
    8Brisbane Roar1763817:22-521
    9Perth Glory1662820:22-220
    10Central Coast Mariners1654721:24-319
    11Wellington Phoenix1654726:31-519
    12WS Wanderers1644813:21-816

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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