Sydney vs Newcastle Jets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/05/2026 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Sydney
41.1%
Draw
25.6%
Newcastle Jets
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 23.3% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 22.9% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • The chances for Newcastle Jets have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Sydney - Newcastle Jets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.15)
    3.73
    (4)
    2.84
    (2.8)
    5.2%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 2.
    • Sydney is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Newcastle has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney - Newcastle Jets were as follows:
    22.03.2026 Sydney - Newcastle Jets 1:2
    20.12.2025 Newcastle Jets - Sydney 2:0
    01.11.2025 Newcastle Jets - Sydney 1:4
    20.04.2025 Sydney - Newcastle Jets 3:2
    04.01.2025 Newcastle Jets - Sydney 2:2
    Latest results of Sydney
    02.05.2026 Melbourne Victory - Sydney 0:1
    26.04.2026 Sydney - Auckland FC 2:2
    18.04.2026 Sydney - Perth Glory 0:0
    02.04.2026 Brisbane Roar - Sydney 0:0
    Latest results of Newcastle Jets
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Newcastle Jets (1)Bye
    2Melbourne Victory (4)Sydney FC (5)0 : 1
    3Adelaide United (2)Bye
    4Auckland FC (3)Melbourne City (6)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Newcastle Jets (1)Sydney FC (5)
    2Adelaide United (2)Auckland FC (3)