Rodez vs Caen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Paul-Lignon (Rodez).

Ligue 2 - Round 30
Referee: Legat P. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.85	1.63
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
14	10
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
2	3
Passes
81% (361/443)	82% (362/444)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85	1.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.54	2.29
Total shots
14	10
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
8	6
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	2
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
24	23
Through passes
0% (0/1)	0% (0/2)
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
81% (361/443)	82% (362/444)
Long passes
49% (28/57)	56% (49/87)
Passes in final third
70% (132/188)	68% (84/124)
Crosses
25% (5/20)	33% (9/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.15	1.79
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
53% (9/17)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
41	39
Clearances Total
20	27
Interceptions
16	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
2.29	1.54
Goals prevented
0.29	-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 1 - 0, Nkada T. ⚽, Bouchouari M. (A),
58', Ngouyamsa Nounchil A. T. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Lebreton N. ⚽, Mendy A. (A),
65', Trouillet A. ↓, Younoussa W. ↑,
73', Abdallah A. ↓, Galves N. ↑,
73', Bouchouari M. ↓, Lipinski R. ↑,
80', Cissokho T. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Kyeremeh G. ⚽, Benrahou Y. (A),
83', Benrahou Y. ↓, Le Bihan M. ↑,
85', Cadiou N. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
85', Bentayeb T. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
87', Gaudin J. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Balde I. ⚽, Nkada T. (A),
90+2', Le Bihan M. 🟥,
90+7', Gaudin J. ↓, Henry V. ↑,

Chances of winning

Rodez
49.5%

Draw
25.4%

Caen
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.6%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

25.2%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Rodez have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Rodez - Caen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.89)	3.69 ↑ (3.66)	3.71 ↓ (3.75)	6.7% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Rodez - Caen?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rodez will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rodez will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Rodez won 2.
Recent matches Rodez is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Caen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Rodez will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Rodez: Chougrani J. (Injury) Cibois S. (Injury) Mambo S. (Injury) Pelon A. (Inactive)
There will not play in Caen: Ntim E. (Inactive) Thomas R. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Caen: Brahimi B. (Injury) Coulibaly K. (Inactive) Gaudin J. (Injury)
Last 10 head-to-head matches Rodez won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:20 (average 1.7:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Rodez won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:9 (average 2.4:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Caen?

Rodez has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Rodez?

Caen has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rodez - Caen were as follows:

22.11.2024 Caen - Rodez 3:3

13.04.2024 Caen - Rodez 1:0

07.10.2023 Rodez - Caen 5:3

11.03.2023 Rodez - Caen 3:2

22.10.2022 Caen - Rodez 2:0

Latest results of Rodez

04.04.2025 Rodez - Martigues 1:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Red Star - Rodez 1:1 ✺

14.03.2025 Annecy - Rodez 1:1 ✺

10.03.2025 Rodez - Dunkerque 5:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Lorient - Rodez 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Caen

05.04.2025 Caen - Metz 2:2 ✺

31.03.2025 Paris FC - Caen 4:2 ✺

14.03.2025 Amiens - Caen 2:1 ✺

07.03.2025 Caen - Laval 0:1 ✺

28.02.2025 Clermont - Caen 0:1 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Troyes ✔	33	20	7	6	60:32	28	67
2	Le Mans	33	15	14	4	48:31	17	59
3	St Etienne	33	17	6	10	54:38	16	57
4	Red Star	33	16	9	8	44:36	8	57
5	Rodez	33	14	13	6	43:38	5	55
6	Reims	33	13	14	6	48:32	16	53
7	Annecy	33	15	7	11	48:37	11	52
8	Montpellier	33	14	8	11	40:30	10	50
9	Pau FC	33	12	9	12	45:57	-12	45
10	Dunkerque	33	11	10	12	51:42	9	43
11	Guingamp	33	10	10	13	42:48	-6	40
12	Grenoble	33	7	15	11	32:39	-7	36
13	Boulogne	33	9	9	15	33:47	-14	36
14	Clermont	33	8	10	15	37:44	-7	34
15	Nancy	33	8	10	15	32:50	-18	34
16	Laval	33	5	14	14	28:47	-19	29
17	Bastia	33	5	13	15	23:37	-14	28
18	Amiens ✔	33	6	6	21	37:60	-23	24

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National

Clinched Spots for Teams

Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National