Result
2:2
01/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 24
- Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (189/265) | 82% (288/351) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (189/265) | 82% (288/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/47) | 52% (22/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (48/84) | 67% (62/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 21% (6/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Lima S. 🟨,
- 10', 1 - 0, Bebeto (Penalty Awarded),
- 15', 1 - 1, Gabriel Silva ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Felix H. ↓, Rony Lopes ↑,
- 60', 2 - 1, Conceicao R. ⚽, Rony Lopes (A),
- 64', Tavares J. ↓, Paciencia G. ↑,
- 64', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
- 69', Rony Lopes 🟨,
- 71', Rodriguez J. ↓, Tavares H. ↑,
- 71', Pedro Maranhao ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
- 71', Diogo Calila ↓, Lucas Soares ↑,
- 74', Silva H. 🟨,
- 86', Medina B. 🟨,
- 87', Kimpioka B. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 2, Serginho (Penalty Awarded),
- 89', Ferreira P. ↓, Darlan ↑,
- 89', Fernando ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
- 90+3', Rony Lopes ↓, Moudjatovic M. ↑,
- 90+4', Hodge J. ↓, Huarte X. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tondela
29.3% | Draw
32.2% | Santa Clara
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Tondela - Santa Clara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↓
(3.29) |
2.94 ↓
(3.01) |
2.47 ↑
(2.37) |
5.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tondela - Santa Clara?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tondela (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 3.
- Recent performances by Tondela have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Santa Clara is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Tondela: Cicero
(Yellow Cards)
Sithole S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Venancio F.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Tondela: Aiko M.
(Injury)
Cicero
(Injury)
Maviram E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Santa Clara: MT
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tondela won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Santa Clara?
Tondela has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Tondela?
Santa Clara has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Santa Clara were as follows:
27.09.2025
Santa Clara
-
Tondela
1:2
20.04.2024
Santa Clara
-
Tondela
1:0
09.12.2023
Tondela
-
Santa Clara
2:3
29.07.2023
Santa Clara
-
Tondela
0:1
15.10.2022
Tondela
-
Santa Clara
2:0
Latest results of Tondela
Latest results of Santa Clara
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
