Result
3:0
25/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 19
- Referee: Macedo C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (423/496) | 77% (231/299) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (423/496) | 77% (231/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (44/70) | 47% (15/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (69/112) | 61% (50/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -1.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, De Amorim M. ⚽, Elisor S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Hodge J. ↓, Siebatcheu J. ↑,
- 52', Afonso J. 🟨,
- 52', Pinheiro R. ↓, Garcia ↑,
- 60', Pedro Maranhao ↓, Felix H. ↑,
- 60', Conceicao R. ↓, Rodrigues A. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 0, Gil Dias ⚽,
- 72', Sithole S. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 78', Sorriso ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
- 78', Sa G. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 0, Santos P. ⚽,
- 83', Van de Looi T. ↓, Pena M. ↑,
- 83', De Amorim M. ↓, Mamageishvili O. ↑,
- 84', Bebeto ↓, Manso T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Famalicão
60.6% | Draw
23.3% | Tondela
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Famalicão - Tondela Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.66) |
4.03 ↑
(3.86) |
5.95 ↑
(5.07) |
5.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Famalicão - Tondela?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Tondela (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Famalicão (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Famalicão will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Famalicão will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Famalicão (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Tondela (votes: 1 - 9.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Tondela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Famalicão has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Famalicão is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Tondela: Medina B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: Pastor G.
(Injury)
Pedro Bondo
(Injury)
Rochinha
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Tondela: Moudjatovic M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Tondela?
Famalicão has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Famalicão?
Tondela has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Famalicão - Tondela were as follows:
16.08.2025
Tondela
-
Famalicão
0:1
09.12.2022
Famalicão
-
Tondela
0:0
Latest results of Famalicão
Latest results of Tondela
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
