Result
12/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Bologna 52.2% | Draw 28.1% | Lecce 19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Bologna - Lecce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.84 ↑ (1.66) |
3.41 ↓ (3.65) |
4.89 ↓ (5.43) |
4.2% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bologna - Lecce?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 40% – 93.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 2.
- Bologna has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lecce is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bologna is the team to beat.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Lecce?
Bologna has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Bologna?
Lecce has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bologna - Lecce were as follows:
28.09.2025
Lecce
-
Bologna
2:2
09.02.2025
Lecce
-
Bologna
0:0
02.11.2024
Bologna
-
Lecce
1:0
11.02.2024
Bologna
-
Lecce
4:0
03.12.2023
Lecce
-
Bologna
1:1
Latest results of Bologna
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 31 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 71:26 | 45 | 72 |
| 2 | Napoli | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 47:30 | 17 | 65 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 47:24 | 23 | 63 |
| 4 | Como | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 53:22 | 31 | 58 |
| 5 | Juventus | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 54:29 | 25 | 57 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 32 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 45:28 | 17 | 57 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 44:27 | 17 | 53 |
| 8 | Bologna | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Lazio | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 32:29 | 3 | 44 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:41 | -3 | 42 |
| 11 | Udinese | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 40 |
| 12 | Torino | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 35:53 | -18 | 36 |
| 13 | Parma | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 35 |
| 14 | Genoa | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 36:44 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | -8 | 32 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 32:44 | -12 | 30 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26:46 | -20 | 27 |
| 18 | Lecce | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21:43 | -22 | 27 |
| 19 | Verona | 31 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22:53 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 | Pisa | 32 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 23:58 | -35 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B