Result
4:0
16/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Premier League |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4 |
Bolivia | ESPN 2 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
Czech-republic | Oneplay, Sport 1 |
Denmark | Disney+ |
Ecuador | ESPN 2 |
Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
Germany | RTL+ |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
Ireland | Premier Sports 2 ROI |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno |
Japan | Wowow Live |
Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Kenya | Gotv |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 2 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 6 |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
Romania | Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Singapore | beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovakia | Sport 1 |
South-africa | SuperSport Premier League |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
Sweden | Disney+ |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Taiwan | ELTA Sports 3 |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | Tabii |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 2 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter |
Vietnam | ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (257/320) | 87% (333/382) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.21 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (257/320) | 87% (333/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 57% (20/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (61/79) | 73% (84/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 3.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Watkins O. ⚽, Rogers M. (A),
- 25', Rogers M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 26', 2 - 0, Buendia E. ⚽, Digne L. (A),
- 29', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
- 39', 3 - 0, Rogers M. ⚽, McGinn J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
- 46', Freuler R. ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
- 46', Joao Mario ↓, Zortea N. ↑,
- 64', McGinn J. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
- 64', Watkins O. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
- 74', Rogers M. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
- 74', Tielemans Y. ↓, Douglas Luiz ↑,
- 76', Castro S. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
- 78', Onana A. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
- 82', Casale N. ↓, Heggem T. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 0, Konsa E. ⚽, Abraham T. (A),
Chances of winning
Aston Villa 62% | Draw 22.1% | Bologna 16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aston Villa's performance.Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Aston Villa - Bologna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.55 ↓ (1.71) |
4.34 ↑ (3.95) |
5.93 ↑ (4.64) |
4.3% (5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Bologna?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Aston Villa (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Aston Villa will win
(42 of 48 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.14% – 96.86%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 3-1. Second leg.
- Aston Villa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bologna has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Aston Villa is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Aston Villa: Alysson
(Injury)
Barkley R.
(Inactive)
Kamara B.
(Knee Injury)
Madjo B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K.
(Inactive)
Dallinga T.
(Injury)
De Silvestri L.
(Inactive)
Dominguez B.
(Hip Injury)
Fauske Helland E.
(Inactive)
Lucumi J.
(Yellow Cards)
Skorupski L.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Aston Villa: Martinez E.
(Calf Injury)
Sancho J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Bologna?
Aston Villa has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Aston Villa?
Bologna has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Bologna were as follows:
09.04.2026
Bologna
-
Aston Villa
1:3
25.09.2025
Aston Villa
-
Bologna
1:0
22.10.2024
Aston Villa
-
Bologna
2:0
Latest results of Aston Villa
Latest results of Bologna
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | 0 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | 1 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | 4 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Braga (6) | Betis (4) | 4 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Freiburg (7) | Celta Vigo (16) | 3 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 3 | FC Porto (5) | Nottingham (13) | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Bologna (10) | Aston Villa (2) | 0 : 4, 1 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Braga (6) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 2 | Nottingham (13) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Final