Penafiel vs Feirense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
19/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 9
  • Referee: Rodrigues J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
56
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
610
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
56
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
2511
Throw-ins
3219
Fouls
1119

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Nketia D. ,
  • 18', 0 - 2, John N. ,
  • 40', John N. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 2, Reko , Santos A. (A),
  • 43', Reko 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Nketia D. , Miguel ,
  • 62', Davo , Vieira P. ,
  • 62', Pereira B. , Alloh T. ,
  • 74', Reko , Sery J. ,
  • 74', Alcaina R. , Suker H. ,
  • 78', John N. , Popoola S. ,
  • 85', Oliveira J. , Basit A. ,
  • 85', Kebe I. , Pedro Sa ,
  • 88', Ribeiro T. , Gui Meira ,
  • 88', Antunes L. , Klimov K. ,
  • 90+8', Gui Meira 🟨,

Chances of winning


Penafiel
29.4%
Draw
29.6%
Feirense
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 30.5% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 29.8% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Feirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Feirense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penafiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Feirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Penafiel - Feirense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.51
    (2.73)
    3.38
    (3.08)
    2.35
    (2.68)
    0.7%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Penafiel - Feirense?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Feirense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1.
    • Recent performances by Penafiel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Feirense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Feirense were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Penafiel - Feirense 1:2
    07.12.2024 Feirense - Penafiel 3:0
    29.01.2024 Penafiel - Feirense 2:1
    20.08.2023 Feirense - Penafiel 2:0
    08.04.2023 Feirense - Penafiel 2:1
    Latest results of Penafiel
    05.10.2025 Benfica B - Penafiel 0:2
    27.09.2025 Penafiel - Felgueiras 2:0
    21.09.2025 Portimonense B - Penafiel 2:1
    13.09.2025 Lusitânia - Penafiel 0:0
    30.08.2025 Penafiel - Chaves 0:2
    Latest results of Feirense
    05.10.2025 Felgueiras - Feirense 2:0
    28.09.2025 Feirense - Lusitânia 1:2
    21.09.2025 Resende - Feirense 1:0
    14.09.2025 Chaves - Feirense 1:1
    30.08.2025 Feirense - Leixões 2:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo24145538:191947
    2Academico Viseu24135644:261844
    3Sporting CP B241221037:231438
    4FC Porto B24114931:31037
    5Torreense241131028:27136
    6Leiria2398634:31335
    7Vizela2498730:28235
    8Lusitania FC2497833:37-434
    9Feirense2488828:27132
    10Benfica B24710733:31231
    11Leixoes24941127:40-1331
    12Chaves24861027:24330
    13Felgueiras2478924:30-629
    14Penafiel24771021:23-228
    15SC Farense24761122:31-927
    16Oliveirense24681026:33-726
    17Pacos Ferreira2359920:32-1224
    18Portimonense24661225:35-1024

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