Nantes vs Nice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:4
25/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 19
  • Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.590.82
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
207
Shots on target
54
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
42
Passes
75% (337/448)73% (271/371)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.590.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.402.56
Total shots
207
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
113
Blocked shots
40
Shots inside the box
144
Shots outside the box
63
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
3415
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free kicks
1511
Passes
75% (337/448)73% (271/371)
Long passes
46% (24/52)37% (25/68)
Passes in final third
63% (111/176)52% (41/79)
Crosses
40% (14/35)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.920.37
Throw ins
2920
Fouls
1115
Tackles
68% (15/22)75% (18/24)
Duels won
6159
Clearances
1747
Interceptions
817
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
05
xGOT faced
2.561.40
Goals prevented
-1.440.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 9', Lepenant J. 🟨,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Cho M. ⚽, Clauss J. (A),
  • 17', Abdi A. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 2, Cho M. ⚽, Sanson M. (A),
  • 38', Abline M. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 3, Diop S. ⚽,
  • 45+2', 1 - 3, Mostafa Mohamed ⚽, Awaziem C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
  • 70', Diop S. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
  • 70', Wahi E. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
  • 81', Vanhoutte C. ↓, Dante ↑,
  • 81', Sissoko I. ↓, Deuff B. ↑,
  • 86', Sanson M. 🟨,
  • 87', Abline M. ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
  • 89', Cho M. ↓, Bernardeau G. ↑,
  • 89', Sanson M. ↓, Ndombele T. ↑,
  • 90+3', 1 - 4, Louchet T. ⚽, Ndombele T. (A),

Chances of winning


Nantes
34.5%		Draw
28.3%		Nice
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31% 27.7% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 27.2% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+5%)
    •

    Nantes - Nice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.76 ↓
    (3.05)    		 3.36 ↓
    (3.41)    		 2.55 ↑
    (2.29)    		 5.2%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Nantes - Nice?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 10 - 40%). Nice will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 20.8% – 59.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 50%). Nice (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • DC - Nantes (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Nantes (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Nice (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 3 - 60%). Nice (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 2.
    • Nantes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nice is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Boga J. (Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Moffi T. (Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nantes: Centonze F. (Injury) Machado D. (Injury) Tabibou D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Nice: Bard M. (Groin Injury) Bernardeau G. (Inactive) Boudaoui H. (Inactive) Coulibaly D. (Inactive) Dante (Inactive) Diop S. (Injury) Diouf Y. (Inactive) Mendy A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Nice were as follows:
    11.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:2
    13.09.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:0
    04.04.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:2
    20.10.2024 Nantes - Nice 1:1
    31.03.2024 Nice - Nantes 1:2
    Latest results of Nantes
    18.01.2026 Nantes - Paris FC 1:2 ✺
    11.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:2 ✺
    04.01.2026 Olympique Marseille - Nantes 0:2 ✺
    21.12.2025 Concarneau - Nantes 3:5 ✺
    12.12.2025 Angers - Nantes 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Nice
    22.01.2026 Nice - Go Ahead Eagles 3:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Toulouse - Nice 5:1 ✺
    11.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:2 ✺
    03.01.2026 Nice - Strasbourg 1:1 ✺
    21.12.2025 Nice - Saint-Étienne 2:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
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