Result
1:0
12/02/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 3
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Flow Eventos |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 3, Sport 4 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes, Fanatiz |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean |
 Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Flow |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (264/331) | 80% (285/357) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (264/331) | 80% (285/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (20/43) | 38% (15/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (71/109) | 70% (71/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Samuel Xavier 🟨,
- 17', Ythallo 🟨,
- 24', Allan ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
- 26', Canobbio A. 🟨,
- 28', Zubeldia L. 🟨,
- 45+1', Montoro A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ythallo ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
- 55', 1 - 0, Acosta L. ⚽,
- 61', Canobbio A. 🟥,
- 69', Alex Telles ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
- 69', Acosta L. 🟨,
- 74', Acosta L. ↓, Guilherme Arana ↑,
- 74', Samuel Xavier ↓, Guga ↑,
- 75', Guga 🟨,
- 82', Vitinho ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
- 82', Artur ↓, Barria K. ↑,
- 86', Newton 🟨,
- 87', John Kennedy ↓, Hercules ↑,
- 90', Freytes J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Serna K. ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
49.8% | Draw
29.6% | Botafogo RJ
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fluminense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fluminense - Botafogo RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.24) |
3.21 ↑
(3.15) |
4.55 ↑
(3.14) |
5.2%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Botafogo RJ?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Botafogo (1.92) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Fluminense (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Fluminense (1.31) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Fluminense (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Fluminense (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fluminense will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Botafogo (votes: 4 - 23.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 2.
- Fluminense is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Botafogo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Fluminense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Cano G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Botafogo: Correa J.
(Muscle Injury)
Marcal
(Knee Injury)
Ramos C.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Nonato
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Rodriguez S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Botafogo RJ?
Fluminense has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Fluminense?
Botafogo RJ has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
01.02.2026
Botafogo RJ
-
Fluminense
0:1
28.09.2025
Fluminense
-
Botafogo RJ
2:0
26.04.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Fluminense
2:0
29.01.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Fluminense
2:1
21.09.2024
Fluminense
-
Botafogo RJ
0:1
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 19 | Vasco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
