Result
1:2
12/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Israel | Sport 1, Sport 4 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2 |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 2.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (550/611) | 86% (350/405) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 2.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (550/611) | 86% (350/405) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (15/31) | 56% (23/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (152/183) | 78% (85/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 46% (13/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.30 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Acosta L. ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
- 7', 0 - 1, Pedro ⚽, Samuel Lino (A),
- 38', Martinelli 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 2, Pedro ⚽, Samuel Lino (A),
- 65', Martinelli ↓, Savarino J. ↑,
- 65', John Kennedy ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 67', Samuel Lino ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 73', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
- 73', Plata G. ↓, Carrascal J. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, Savarino J. ⚽,
- 81', Leo Ortiz ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 81', Pedro ↓, Danilo ↑,
- 86', Samuel Xavier ↓, Guga ↑,
- 86', Rene ↓, Guilherme Arana ↑,
- 89', Castillo R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Luiz Araujo 🟨,
- 90+1', Evertton Araujo 🟨,
- 90+2', Bruno Henrique 🟨,
- 90+5', Carrascal J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
30.2% | Draw
30.7% | Flamengo
39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)The ML Model estimate for Flamengo aligns with the current prediction.
Fluminense - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↑
(2.86) |
3.08 ↓
(3.19) |
2.44 ↑
(2.42) |
5.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Flamengo will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 2.
- Recent performances by Fluminense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Flamengo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Flamengo could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Flamengo?
Fluminense has won 6 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Fluminense?
Flamengo has won 8 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Flamengo were as follows:
08.03.2026
Fluminense
-
Flamengo
0:1
25.01.2026
Fluminense
-
Flamengo
2:1
19.11.2025
Fluminense
-
Flamengo
2:1
20.07.2025
Flamengo
-
Fluminense
1:0
12.03.2025
Fluminense
-
Flamengo
1:2
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 19 | Remo | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
