Result
1:1
06/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 15
- Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 2 |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (305/382) | 78% (269/347) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (305/382) | 78% (269/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 32% (14/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (76/117) | 72% (61/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Harit A. 🟨,
- 20', Semedo N. ↓, Akturkoglu K. ↑,
- 29', Alvarez E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Fayzullaev A. 🟨,
- 52', Mercan L. 🟨,
- 57', Duran J. ↓, En Nesyri Y. ↑,
- 57', Talisca ↓, Nene D. ↑,
- 57', Mercan L. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Skriniar M. ⚽, Asensio M. (A),
- 71', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Yildirim B. ↑,
- 73', Brown A. 🟨,
- 78', Da Costa N. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
- 78', Fred ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Yildirim B. ⚽, Kemen O. (A),
- 85', Sahiner O. ↓, Ebosele F. ↑,
- 86', Gunes U. ↓, Ergun O. ↑,
Chances of winning
İstanbul Başakşehir
20.4% | Draw
24.7% | Fenerbahçe
55% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.67 ↑
(4.36) |
3.85 ↑
(3.7) |
1.73 ↓
(1.77) |
5.3%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Başakşehir (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Fenerbahçe (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Fenerbahçe will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 5 - 62.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 0.
- In recent matches, Başakşehir has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fenerbahçe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fenerbahçe is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Başakşehir: Opoku J.
(Yellow Cards)
Sari Y.
(Injury)
Selke D.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Oosterwolde J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Soyuncu C.
(Knee Injury)
Szymanski S.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Fenerbahçe?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fenerbahçe won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Fenerbahçe has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
09.05.2025
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Fenerbahçe
1:4
15.12.2024
Fenerbahçe
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
3:1
24.01.2024
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Fenerbahçe
0:1
28.09.2023
Fenerbahçe
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
4:0
11.06.2023
Fenerbahçe
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
2:0
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Latest results of Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 55:17 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 23 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 52:21 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 45:27 | 18 | 48 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 44:29 | 15 | 43 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 36 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 31 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 28 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 28:35 | -7 | 24 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 23 |
| 13 | Konyaspor | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 21 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 23 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 19 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 20:42 | -22 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
