İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 15
  • Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.09
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
108
Passes
80% (305/382)78% (269/347)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.531.17
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
108
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
138
Passes
80% (305/382)78% (269/347)
Long passes
49% (21/43)32% (14/44)
Passes in final third
65% (76/117)72% (61/85)
Crosses
20% (4/20)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.78
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
813
Tackles
64% (9/14)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5250
Clearances
1825
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.171.53
Goals prevented
0.170.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Harit A. 🟨,
  • 20', Semedo N. , Akturkoglu K. ,
  • 29', Alvarez E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Fayzullaev A. 🟨,
  • 52', Mercan L. 🟨,
  • 57', Duran J. , En Nesyri Y. ,
  • 57', Talisca , Nene D. ,
  • 57', Mercan L. , Brown A. ,
  • 64', 0 - 1, Skriniar M. , Asensio M. (A),
  • 71', Fayzullaev A. , Yildirim B. ,
  • 73', Brown A. 🟨,
  • 78', Da Costa N. , Brnic I. ,
  • 78', Fred , Yuksek I. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Yildirim B. , Kemen O. (A),
  • 85', Sahiner O. , Ebosele F. ,
  • 86', Gunes U. , Ergun O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


İstanbul Başakşehir
20.4%
Draw
24.7%
Fenerbahçe
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.6% 25.4% 53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4% 25.2% 53.5%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.67
(4.36)
3.85
(3.7)
1.73
(1.77)
5.3%
(6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 1 - 50%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.12%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 0.
    • In recent matches, Başakşehir has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fenerbahçe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Fenerbahçe is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Başakşehir: Opoku J. (Yellow Cards) Sari Y. (Injury) Selke D. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Oosterwolde J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Soyuncu C. (Knee Injury) Szymanski S. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
    09.05.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe 1:4
    15.12.2024 Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir 3:1
    24.01.2024 İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe 0:1
    28.09.2023 Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir 4:0
    11.06.2023 Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir 2:0
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray17133139:122742
    2Fenerbahce17116039:142539
    3Trabzonspor17105233:201335
    4Goztepe1795321:91232
    5Besiktas1785430:22829
    6Samsunspor1767422:20225
    7Basaksehir1765627:18923
    8Kocaelispor1765615:17-223
    9Gaziantep1765624:30-623
    10Alanyaspor1749416:15121
    11Genclerbirligi1753921:24-318
    12Rizespor1746720:24-418
    13Konyaspor1745821:29-817
    14Kasimpasa1736814:24-1015
    15Antalyaspor17431016:31-1515
    16Kayserispor1729616:33-1715
    17Eyupspor17341010:24-1413
    18Karagumruk17231214:32-189

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig