Result
3:0
29/10/2025 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 18
- Referee: Ruiz D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (299/384) | 77% (303/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (299/384) | 77% (303/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/52) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (55/82) | 60% (73/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 2.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 4', Charrupi G. 🟨,
- 5', 1 - 0, Leon B. ⚽, Berrio L. (A),
- 15', Loboa H. ↓, Serna A. ↑,
- 27', Berrio L. 🟨,
- 38', 2 - 0, Fydriszewski F. ⚽, Leon B. (A),
- 40', 3 - 0, Berrio L. ⚽,
- 45+3', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Duarte B. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
- 46', Charrupi F. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 46', Moreno N. ↓, Gil Mosquera F. A. ↑,
- 65', Pons L. 🟨,
- 66', Chaverra F. 🟨,
- 71', Londono K. ↓, Hinestroza F. ↑,
- 73', Chaverra L. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
- 73', Chaverra F. ↓, Arizala J. ↑,
- 85', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
- 85', Berrio L. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
- 87', Sambueza F. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mr2vy5j5
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
53.4% | Draw
25.3% | Atlético Bucaramanga
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.72) |
3.63 ↓
(3.8) |
4.32 ↑
(4.14) |
8.1%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga?
Users Predictions:
Independiente Medellín will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 4.
- Ind Medellín has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bucaramanga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bucaramanga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ind Medellín is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:3. (average 1.6:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Independiente Medellín has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Independiente Medellín?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
09.05.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Independiente Medellín
2:0
03.11.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Independiente Medellín
2:3
14.04.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:0
25.09.2023
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
2:0
16.04.2023
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Independiente Medellín
1:2
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Medellin | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 46:28 | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 29:17 | 12 | 38 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 38:24 | 14 | 37 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 31:20 | 11 | 37 |
| 5 | Junior | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Fortaleza | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 35 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 31 |
| 8 | America De Cali | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 29 |
| 9 | Alianza | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29:27 | 2 | 27 |
| 11 | Once Caldas | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
| 12 | Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 25 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 21 |
| 16 | Envigado | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18:22 | -4 | 20 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 19 |
| 18 | Pereira | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 18 |
| 19 | Chico | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 14:29 | -15 | 16 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14:29 | -15 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
