Cúcuta Deportivo vs Independiente Medellín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
10/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.430.98
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
39
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
42
Passes
84% (325/389)86% (405/473)
Yellow cards
14
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.430.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.242.79
Total shots
915
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
511
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1721
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
188
Passes
84% (325/389)86% (405/473)
Long passes
45% (18/40)52% (23/44)
Passes in final third
60% (46/77)68% (75/111)
Crosses
24% (4/17)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.57
Throw ins
912
Fouls
818
Tackles
70% (7/10)82% (14/17)
Duels won
3440
Clearances
1717
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
62
xGOT faced
2.791.24
Goals prevented
-0.210.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', Chaverra L. 🟨,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Moreno D. , Fydriszewski F. (A),
  • 35', Loboa H. , Serna A. ,
  • 38', Rios L. , Berdugo L. ,
  • 43', Agudelo J. 🟥,
  • 45+1', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
  • 45+6', 1 - 1, Berdugo L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 54', 1 - 2, Serna A. ,
  • 55', Castaneda F. , Hernandez L. ,
  • 55', Londono K. , Ceballos J. ,
  • 56', 1 - 3, Montano J. , Moreno D. (A),
  • 63', Calcaterra D. , Quinones J. ,
  • 63', Arizalas E. , Valencia J. ,
  • 65', Moreno D. , Berrio L. ,
  • 65', Montano J. , Mancilla G. ,
  • 85', Quinones J. 🟨,
  • 86', Chaverra F. , Viveros J. ,
  • 86', Fydriszewski F. , Larrosa E. ,
  • 87', Ortiz J. 🟨,
  • 89', Mena Perea E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cúcuta Deportivo
24.9%
Draw
27%
Independiente Medellín
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.6% 29.6% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7% 28.5% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.76
    (3.77)
    3.46
    (3.13)
    1.94
    (2.03)
    7.1%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 17)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Cúcuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ind Medellín could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cúcuta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
    05.10.2023 Independiente Medellín - Cúcuta Deportivo 1:3
    28.09.2023 Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín 0:1
    Latest results of Cúcuta Deportivo
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional ✔ 18131435:142140
    2Dep. Pasto ✔ 18104426:21534
    3Junior ✔ 18102627:21632
    4Deportes Tolima ✔ 1886426:161030
    5America De Cali ✔ 1893624:15930
    6Once Caldas ✔ 1879230:22830
    7Inter Bogotu00e11877425:23228
    8Santa Fe1868426:21526
    9Dep. Cali1875619:15426
    10Ind. Medellin1875625:22326
    11Millonarios1874729:21825
    12Bucaramanga1858525:18723
    13Aguilas1865718:24-623
    14Llaneros18410417:17022
    15Fortaleza1847720:26-619
    16Cucuta1837822:33-1116
    17Alianza1837811:25-1416
    18Jaguares de Cordoba18431118:33-1515
    19Chico18421212:32-2014
    20Pereira18171015:31-1610

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
    Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )