Result
1:3
10/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (325/389) | 86% (405/473) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (325/389) | 86% (405/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (18/40) | 52% (23/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (46/77) | 68% (75/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.79 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', Chaverra L. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽, Fydriszewski F. (A),
- 35', Loboa H. ↓, Serna A. ↑,
- 38', Rios L. ↓, Berdugo L. ↑,
- 43', Agudelo J. 🟥,
- 45+1', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
- 45+6', 1 - 1, Berdugo L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', 1 - 2, Serna A. ⚽,
- 55', Castaneda F. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
- 55', Londono K. ↓, Ceballos J. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 3, Montano J. ⚽, Moreno D. (A),
- 63', Calcaterra D. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 63', Arizalas E. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 65', Moreno D. ↓, Berrio L. ↑,
- 65', Montano J. ↓, Mancilla G. ↑,
- 85', Quinones J. 🟨,
- 86', Chaverra F. ↓, Viveros J. ↑,
- 86', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Larrosa E. ↑,
- 87', Ortiz J. 🟨,
- 89', Mena Perea E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cúcuta Deportivo 24.9% | Draw 27% | Independiente Medellín 48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.76 ↓ (3.77) |
3.46 ↑ (3.13) |
1.94 ↓ (2.03) |
7.1% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 17)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Cúcuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ind Medellín could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cúcuta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cúcuta Deportivo won against Independiente Medellín?
Cúcuta Deportivo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Cúcuta Deportivo?
Independiente Medellín has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
05.10.2023
Independiente Medellín
-
Cúcuta Deportivo
1:3
28.09.2023
Cúcuta Deportivo
-
Independiente Medellín
0:1
Latest results of Cúcuta Deportivo
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )