Result
1:3
13/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Ortiz A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Fox Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, van de Sanden S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 60', 🟨,
- 61', Rodriguez C. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 61', Solis J. ↓, Morin A. ↑,
- 62', Guatemala D. ↓, Sahagun Molina V. M. ↑,
- 62', Vazquez S. ↓, Peraza C. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 79', Santos E. ↓, Moron V. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Puebla
12.7% | Draw
17.4% | Toluca
69.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)The ML Model estimate for Puebla aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Puebla - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.26 ↑
(6.75) |
5.3 ↑
(4.5) |
1.32 ↓
(1.33) |
8.3%
(12.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Puebla won 0.
- Puebla is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Toluca is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Toluca is indisputable favorite.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Puebla won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14:20 (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Puebla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Toluca?
Puebla has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Puebla?
Toluca has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Toluca were as follows:
07.09.2024
Toluca
-
Puebla
1:0
03.05.2024
Puebla
-
Toluca
1:2
05.10.2023
Toluca
-
Puebla
3:0
26.02.2023
Puebla
-
Toluca
0:2
17.10.2022
Toluca
-
Puebla
1:1
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Club America W | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28:3 | 25 | 21 |
| 2 | Toluca W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 16 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Monterrey W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | Pachuca W | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 14 |
| 7 | Juarez W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 14 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Atl. San Luis W | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Club Leon W | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Cruz Azul W | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 | Atlas W | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 | Necaxa W | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:17 | -11 | 5 |
| 14 | Santos Laguna W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Queretaro W | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:23 | -16 | 3 |
| 16 | Club Tijuana W | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 |
| 17 | Puebla W | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:22 | -19 | 1 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC W | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:27 | -23 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
