Result
1:3
13/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Ortiz A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Fox Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, van de Sanden S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 60', 🟨,
- 61', Rodriguez C. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 61', Solis J. ↓, Morin A. ↑,
- 62', Guatemala D. ↓, Sahagun Molina V. M. ↑,
- 62', Vazquez S. ↓, Peraza C. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 79', Santos E. ↓, Moron V. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Puebla
12.7% | Draw
17.4% | Toluca
69.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)The ML Model estimate for Puebla aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Puebla - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.28 ↑
(6.75) |
5.32 ↑
(4.5) |
1.33
(1.33) |
7.9%
(12.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Puebla won 0.
- Puebla is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Toluca is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Toluca is indisputable favorite.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Puebla won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14:20 (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Puebla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Toluca?
Puebla has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Puebla?
Toluca has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Toluca were as follows:
07.09.2024
Toluca
-
Puebla
1:0
03.05.2024
Puebla
-
Toluca
1:2
05.10.2023
Toluca
-
Puebla
3:0
26.02.2023
Puebla
-
Toluca
0:2
17.10.2022
Toluca
-
Puebla
1:1
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigres UANL W ✔ | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 53:8 | 45 | 38 |
| 2 | Pachuca W ✔ | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 52:18 | 34 | 36 |
| 3 | Club America W ✔ | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 48:19 | 29 | 32 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Toluca W | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 28:15 | 13 | 28 |
| 6 | Monterrey W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 26 |
| 7 | Club Leon W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 29:30 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas W | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Atlas W | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:28 | -3 | 22 |
| 10 | Cruz Azul W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 21 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 21 |
| 12 | Juarez W | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana W | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:26 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Queretaro W | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:42 | -29 | 10 |
| 15 | Santos Laguna W | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 | Necaxa W | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8:32 | -24 | 8 |
| 17 | Puebla W | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5:36 | -31 | 5 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC W | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7:48 | -41 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
