Result
2:3
14/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 7
- Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (346/457) | 71% (256/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (346/457) | 71% (256/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 47% (37/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (85/145) | 62% (66/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (8/35) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.91 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Pflucke P. ⚽, Van Den Kerkhof K. (A),
- 39', 0 - 2, Titraoui Y. ⚽, Scheidler A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Agyekum L. ↓, Adewumi O. ↑,
- 46', Minda A. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
- 51', Ousou A. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 2, Ngoura S. (Pen),
- 56', 1 - 3, Scheidler A. ⚽,
- 60', Pflucke P. ↓, Bernier A. ↑,
- 70', Gomis D. ↓, Diaby I. ↑,
- 74', Scheidler A. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 74', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Blum L. ↑,
- 84', Magnee G. ↓, De Wilde N. ↑,
- 84', Ngoura S. ↓, Bayo A. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 3, Gerkens P. (Pen),
- 88', Guiagon P. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,
- 88', Romsaas J. ↓, Boukamir M. ↑,
- 90', Camara E. 🟨,
- 90+3', Nazinho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cercle Brugge
30.3% | Draw
29.3% | Charleroi
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cercle Brugge's form might have worsened.Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charleroi's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cercle Brugge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charleroi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cercle Brugge - Charleroi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.47 ↑
(2.49) |
4.34 ↑
(3.35) |
3.01 ↑
(2.74) |
-21.3%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cercle Brugge - Charleroi?
Users Predictions:
Cercle Brugge will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cercle Brugge will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Charleroi has had a series of home games.
- Cercle Brugge will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There are questionable in Cercle Brugge: Diakite I.
(Broken ankle)
Ouattara A. K.
(Broken Leg)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:33. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cercle Brugge won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cercle Brugge won against Charleroi?
Cercle Brugge has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Cercle Brugge?
Charleroi has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cercle Brugge - Charleroi were as follows:
25.01.2025
Charleroi
-
Cercle Brugge
1:1
03.11.2024
Cercle Brugge
-
Charleroi
2:0
09.03.2024
Charleroi
-
Cercle Brugge
0:0
05.08.2023
Cercle Brugge
-
Charleroi
2:0
15.01.2023
Charleroi
-
Cercle Brugge
2:1
Latest results of Cercle Brugge
Latest results of Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19:4 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | St. Truiden | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Waregem | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Charleroi | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Gent | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | St. Liege | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | RAAL La Louviere | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Westerlo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Antwerp | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 14 | Genk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Leuven | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | Dender | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:13 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
