Result
3:4 OT
17/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Norway | Viaplay |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
United-kingdom | DAZN |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | NHL Network |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 30 | 37 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10% (3/30) | 10.81% (4/37) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 33 | 27 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 89.19% (33/37) | 90% (27/30) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (3/3) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 38.78 | 61.22 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:22, Carlo B. (2 min),
- 02:23, 1 - 0, Iafallo A. (G), Stanley L. (A), Namestnikov V. (A2)
- 06:53, Robertson N. (2 min),
- 08:59, 2 - 0, Connor K. (G), Vilardi G. (A),
- 09:22, 2 - 1, Matthews A. (G), Domi M. (A), Rielly M. (A2)
- 09:55, Toews J. (2 min),
- 14:52, Iafallo A. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 02:28, 3 - 1, Niederreiter N. (G), Namestnikov V. (A), Schenn L. (A2)
- 05:58, 3 - 2, Ekman-Larsson O. (G), Robertson N. (A), Cowan E. (A2)
- 15:27, 3 - 3, McMann B. (G), Ekman-Larsson O. (A), Rielly M. (A2)
- 16:47, Knies M. (2 min),
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 03:08, 3 - 4, Domi M. (G), Matthews A. (A), Ekman-Larsson O. (A2)
Chances of winning
Winnipeg Jets 44.3% | Draw 22.6% | Toronto Maple Leafs 33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Winnipeg Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Winnipeg Jets's performance.Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto Maple Leafs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winnipeg Jets than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Winnipeg Jets that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Maple Leafs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Winnipeg Jets - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↓ (2.78) |
4.24 ↑ (4.21) |
2.88 ↑ (2.3) |
5.3% (3.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Winnipeg Jets - Toronto Maple Leafs?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Winnipeg will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Winnipeg: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Winnipeg (votes: 3 - 50%). Toronto (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winnipeg won 1.
- Winnipeg is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Toronto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Winnipeg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Winnipeg has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Winnipeg: Fleury H.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Miller C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Pionk N.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Stolarz A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Tanev C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Benoit S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Nylander W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winnipeg won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 59:70. (average 3:3.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Winnipeg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 2.6:3.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Winnipeg Jets won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Winnipeg Jets has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Winnipeg Jets?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Winnipeg Jets - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
01.01.2026
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Winnipeg Jets
6:5
23.12.2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Winnipeg Jets
2:5
28.10.2024
Winnipeg Jets
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
4:6
27.01.2024
Winnipeg Jets
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
2:4
24.01.2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Winnipeg Jets
1:0
Latest results of Winnipeg Jets
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche | 60 | 38 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 230:149 | 91 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars | 61 | 31 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 212:165 | 85 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild | 62 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 209:180 | 82 |
| 4 | Vegas Golden Knights | 62 | 21 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 205:197 | 72 |
| 5 | Anaheim Ducks | 61 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 24 | 205:212 | 71 |
| 6 | Utah Mammoth | 62 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 196:169 | 70 |
| 7 | Edmonton Oilers | 62 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 220:210 | 68 |
| 8 | Seattle Kraken | 61 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 173:179 | 67 |
| 9 | San Jose Sharks | 59 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 25 | 186:207 | 64 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Kings | 61 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 160:182 | 64 |
| 11 | Nashville Predators | 62 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 185:213 | 64 |
| 12 | Winnipeg Jets | 61 | 21 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 175:187 | 60 |
| 13 | Chicago Blackhawks | 61 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 163:195 | 56 |
| 14 | St. Louis Blues | 61 | 22 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 159:210 | 55 |
| 15 | Calgary Flames | 61 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 150:185 | 55 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 61 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 157:230 | 43 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes | 61 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 214:175 | 84 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 60 | 29 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 211:162 | 80 |
| 3 | Buffalo Sabres | 62 | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 214:184 | 80 |
| 4 | Detroit Red Wings | 62 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 185:187 | 77 |
| 5 | Montreal Canadiens | 60 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 213:200 | 75 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 61 | 27 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 205:180 | 75 |
| 7 | New York Islanders | 63 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 186:182 | 75 |
| 8 | Boston Bruins | 61 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 205:194 | 73 |
| 9 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 61 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 196:193 | 72 |
| 10 | Ottawa Senators | 61 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 205:194 | 69 |
| 11 | Washington Capitals | 63 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 199:189 | 69 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Flyers | 61 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 177:191 | 67 |
| 13 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 63 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 200:221 | 65 |
| 14 | New Jersey Devils | 62 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 29 | 160:186 | 64 |
| 15 | Florida Panthers | 62 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 188:209 | 63 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 61 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 166:192 | 56 |
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