Result
2:3 penalties
02/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Amazon Prime Video, NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 6.45% (2/31) | 8% (2/25) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 92% (23/25) | 93.55% (29/31) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 59.26 | 40.74 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 03:36, Cowan E. (2 min),
- 12:01, Roy N. (2 min),
- 13:00, (2 min),
- 15:22, 1 - 0, Joshua D. (G), Maccelli M. (A),
- 16:47, Carlo B. (2 min),
- 18:38, 1 - 1, Dvorak C. (G), Cates N. (A), Barkey D. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 00:40, Ristolainen R. (2 min),
- 14:42, 1 - 2, Cates N. (G), Brink B. (A),
- 15:37, Barkey D. (2 min),
- 17:30, 2 - 2, Nylander W. (G), Tavares J. (A), Knies M. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 2)
- 1, Nylander W. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Michkov M. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Matthews A. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Zegras T. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Domi M. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Toronto Maple Leafs
42.6% | Draw
22.7% | Philadelphia Flyers
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Philadelphia Flyers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Flyers than the current prediction. (-2%)
Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.12) |
4.16 ↑
(4.11) |
2.72 ↓
(2.92) |
5.7%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Toronto (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Toronto Maple Leafs will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 12)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 5.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Toronto: Tanev C.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Abols R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Foerster T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 86:53. (average 4.3:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 43:23. (average 4.8:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Philadelphia Flyers?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 10 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Flyers won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Philadelphia Flyers has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers were as follows:
08.01.2026
Philadelphia Flyers
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
1:2
01.11.2025
Philadelphia Flyers
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
2:5
25.03.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Philadelphia Flyers
7:2
07.01.2025
Philadelphia Flyers
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
2:3
05.01.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Philadelphia Flyers
3:2
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest results of Philadelphia Flyers
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Los Angeles Kings (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (2) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 2 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Utah Mammoth (6) | 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (5) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins (7) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Boston Bruins (5) | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 2 : 2 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
