Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:6
13/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Sky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaVictory+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldAmazon Prime Video, NHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2732
Shots off target
1314
Shooting PCT
18.52% (5/27)18.75% (6/32)
Blocked shots
1112
Goalkeeper Saves
2622
Saves PCT
81.25% (26/32)81.48% (22/27)
Penalties
32
PIM
64
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (1/2)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)50% (1/2)
Hits
2711
Faceoffs Won
2132
Faceoffs %
39.6260.38
Giveaways
1318
Takeaways
37
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (3 - 0)
  • 01:09, Hyry A. (2 min),
  • 02:14, 1 - 0, Tavares J. (G), Nylander W. (A),
  • 08:45, Rielly M. (2 min),
  • 14:35, 2 - 0, Quillan J. (G), Lorentz S. (A),
  • 15:51, 3 - 0, Nylander W. (G), McCabe J. (A), Benoit S. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 3)
  • 00:52, 3 - 1, Bourque M. (G),
  • 05:31, 3 - 2, Bourque M. (G), Robertson J. (A), Duchene M. (A2)
  • 05:39, Benn Ja. (2 min),
  • 09:29, 3 - 3, Robertson J. (G), Duchene M. (A), Bourque M. (A2)
  • 18:01, Tverberg R. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 3)
  • 01:40, 4 - 3, Domi M. (G), Nylander W. (A), Knies M. (A2)
  • 04:19, 5 - 3, Robertson N. (G), Stecher T. (A), Knies M. (A2)
  • 06:37, Lorentz S. (2 min),
  • 08:18, 5 - 4, Johnston W. (G), Rantanen M. (A), Harley T. (A2)
  • 09:38, 5 - 5, Hyry A. (G),
  • 14:52, 5 - 6, Bourque M. (G), Duchene M. (A), Petrovic A. (A2)

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
26.9%
Draw
20.9%
Dallas Stars
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 22.1% 51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 23.1% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Dallas Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs - Dallas Stars Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (3.54)
    4.52
    (4.28)
    1.81
    (1.85)
    6%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Dallas Stars?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Dallas will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 19%81%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • Dallas is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
    • Toronto is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Dallas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Dallas has had a series of home games.
    • Dallas could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Matthews A. (Knee Injury) Stolarz A. (Lower-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Abdominal strain)
    • There will not play in Dallas: Bastian N. (Hand Injury) Faksa R. (Lower-Body Injury) Heiskanen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Hintz R. (Lower-Body Injury) Seguin T. (Knee Injury) Steel S. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dallas: Bunting M. (Lower-Body Injury) Lundkvist N. (Illness)
    • We predict that Dallas will win today's game, with odds of 1.97.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 73:50. (average 3.7:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 3.2:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Dallas Stars were as follows:
    21.12.2025 Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:1
    14.01.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Dallas Stars 1:4
    18.12.2024 Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:5
    07.02.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Dallas Stars 5:4
    26.10.2023 Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:4
    Latest results of Dallas Stars
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Colorado Avalanche (1)Los Angeles Kings (8)4 : 0
    2Dallas Stars (2)Minnesota Wild (3)2 : 4
    3Vegas Golden Knights (4)Utah Mammoth (6)4 : 2
    4Edmonton Oilers (5)Anaheim Ducks (7)2 : 4
    5Carolina Hurricanes (1)Ottawa Senators (6)4 : 0
    6Pittsburgh Penguins (7)Philadelphia Flyers (8)2 : 4
    7Buffalo Sabres (2)Boston Bruins (5)4 : 2
    8Tampa Bay Lightning (3)Montreal Canadiens (4)3 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Colorado Avalanche (1)Minnesota Wild (3)2 : 0
    2Vegas Golden Knights (4)Anaheim Ducks (7)1 : 0
    3Carolina Hurricanes (1)Philadelphia Flyers (8)2 : 0
    4Buffalo Sabres (2)Montreal Canadiens (4)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2