Rochester Americans vs Belleville Senators – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey AHL
Result
2:5
03/04/2026 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3319
Shooting PCT
6.06% (2/33)26.32% (5/19)
Goalkeeper Saves
1431
Saves PCT
77.78% (14/18)93.94% (31/33)
Penalties
45
PIM
810
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
20% (1/5)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)80% (4/5)
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 3)
  • 01:44, 0 - 1, Pilon G. (G), Rees J. (A),
  • 03:31, 0 - 2, Bourgault X. (G), Lycksell O. (A), Daoust P. (A2)
  • 08:00, 0 - 3, Hamara T. (G), Kaliyev A. (A), Clarke G. (A2)
  • 14:03, 1 - 3, Wahlberg A. (G), Helenius K. (A), Kuntar T. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 03:12, 2 - 3, Nadeau O. (G), Belliveau I. (A), Warren B. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 02:57, 2 - 4, Kaliyev A. (G), Daoust P. (A), Bourgault X. (A2)
  • 18:07, 2 - 5, Bourgault X. (G), Kaliyev A. (A),

Chances of winning


Rochester Americans
45.4%		Draw
21.8%		Belleville Senators
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 22.3% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 23.4% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Belleville Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
    •

    Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.05 ↑
    (1.88)    		 4.25 ↑
    (4.1)    		 2.82 ↓
    (3.14)    		 7.7%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 7)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 3.
    • In recent matches, Rochester has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Belleville is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Belleville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • Rochester is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Rochester will win today's game, with odds of 2.03.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 78:59. (average 3.9:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rochester won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:31. (average 3.4:3.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators were as follows:
    04.02.2026 Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators 1:3
    16.01.2026 Belleville Senators - Rochester Americans 5:4
    11.01.2026 Belleville Senators - Rochester Americans 5:6
    19.12.2025 Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators 3:2
    10.12.2025 Belleville Senators - Rochester Americans 1:6
    Latest results of Rochester Americans
    01.04.2026 Rochester Americans - Charlotte Checkers 3:5
    29.03.2026 Rochester Americans - Syracuse Crunch 3:2 ✺
    28.03.2026 Syracuse Crunch - Rochester Americans 5:3
    27.03.2026 Rochester Americans - Toronto Marlies 5:2
    22.03.2026 Rochester Americans - Hartford Wolf Pack 6:3
    Latest results of Belleville Senators
    28.03.2026 Belleville Senators - Manitoba Moose 0:1
    27.03.2026 Belleville Senators - Manitoba Moose 5:0
    21.03.2026 Belleville Senators - Springfield Thunderbirds 3:5
    20.03.2026 Belleville Senators - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins 1:2
    18.03.2026 Belleville Senators - Cleveland Monsters 2:7
    AHL Table
    Main

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 724113216239:162110
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 72406917243:186101
    3Charlotte Checkers ✔ 71349523234:18691
    4Bridgeport Islanders72277830219:22276
    5Springfield Thunderbirds72284832207:24072
    6Hershey Bears71256931205:22671
    7Lehigh Valley Phantoms712110634209:24368
    8Hartford Wolf Pack72224838190:25360


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 71438515251:153107
    2Chicago Wolves ✔ 712691521220:21785
    3Texas Stars ✔ 72289629222:22880
    4Manitoba Moose ✔ 72296829185:21678
    5Milwaukee Admirals ✔ 711913732205:21671
    6Iowa Wild72207936179:22663
    7Rockford IceHogs72208539196:24561


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign ✔ 723611520237:18799
    2Colorado Eagles ✔ 723291120237:19893
    3Henderson Silver Knights ✔ 723451221263:22590
    4Coachella Valley Firebirds ✔ 712813624233:21488
    5Bakersfield Condors ✔ 722981223244:23686
    6San Jose Barracuda ✔ 723010428243:23084
    7San Diego Gulls ✔ 722761227224:22878
    8Tucson Roadrunners7221131028230:23978
    9Abbotsford Canucks71198737169:23261
    10Calgary Wranglers721491534203:26961


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 712912822231:19690
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 72383724237:18989
    3Cleveland Monsters ✔ 712313926211:22381
    4Toronto Marlies ✔ 712781026225:22680
    5Utica Comets722641131199:22071
    6Rochester Americans71229931210:23071
    7Belleville Senators72217935223:26265

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Charlotte Checkers is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Chicago Wolves is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Texas Stars is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Manitoba Moose is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Milwaukee Admirals is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Ontario Reign is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Colorado Eagles is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Henderson Silver Knights is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Coachella Valley Firebirds is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Bakersfield Condors is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    San Jose Barracuda is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    San Diego Gulls is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Cleveland Monsters is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Toronto Marlies is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
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