1 Dezembro vs Lusitano GC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


1 Dezembro
30.7%
Draw
29.6%
Lusitano GC
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 30.2% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2% 29.3% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • 1 Dezembro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • 1 Dezembro - Lusitano GC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (3.12)
    3.1
    (2.99)
    2.3
    (2.22)
    9.2%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Recent form of 1 Dezembro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Lusitano GC's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 1 Dezembro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, 1 Dezembro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between 1 Dezembro - Lusitano GC were as follows:
    24.01.2026 1 Dezembro - Lusitano GC 1:1
    01.11.2025 Lusitano GC - 1 Dezembro 2:0
    04.06.2023 Lusitano GC - 1 Dezembro 1:1
    14.05.2023 1 Dezembro - Lusitano GC 3:1
    Latest results of 1 Dezembro
    22.02.2026 1 Dezembro - Atlético CP 1:5
    15.02.2026 Caldas - 1 Dezembro 2:1
    24.01.2026 1 Dezembro - Lusitano GC 1:1
    17.01.2026 Belenenses - 1 Dezembro 1:0
    10.01.2026 1 Dezembro - Mafra 1:1
    Latest results of Lusitano GC
    22.02.2026 Lusitano GC - Amora 1:0
    15.02.2026 Atlético CP - Lusitano GC 3:0
    24.01.2026 1 Dezembro - Lusitano GC 1:1
    17.01.2026 Lusitano GC - Caldas 1:0
    10.01.2026 Amora - Lusitano GC 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Varzim32014:226
    2Os Belenenses31205:415
    3Vitoria Guimaraes B31113:304
    4Academica21013:303
    5Amarante21012:203
    6Santarem21012:203
    7Mafra21011:103
    8Trofense30121:4-31

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